NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — February 22, 2014
Regan Smith
Winner
121
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Regan Smith won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on February 22, 2014, leading 35 of 121 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Trevor Bayne rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 22, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Regan Smith |
| 2 | 17 | +15 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 31 | +28 | Trevor Bayne |
| 4 | 4 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 5 | — | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 27 | +21 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 7 | 23 | +16 | Ty Dillon |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 9 | 29 | +20 | Ryan Sieg |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Kyle Larson |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 12 | 24 | +12 | Joe Nemechek |
| 13 | 25 | +12 | Mike Wallace |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Matt Kenseth |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Chase Elliott |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | James Buescher |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Brian Scott |
| 18 | 39 | +21 | Ryan Reed |
| 19 | 3 | -16 | Danica Patrick |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | Mike Bliss |
| 21 | 34 | +13 | Landon Cassill |
| 22 | 11 | -11 | Blake Koch |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 24 | 40 | +16 | Chad Boat |
| 25 | 10 | -15 | David Starr |
| 26 | 22 | -4 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 27 | 7 | -20 | Jamie Dick |
| 28 | 9 | -19 | Johnny Sauter |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Jason A. White |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 18 | -15 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 34 | 38 | +4 | Mike Harmon |
| 35 | 13 | -22 | Eric McClure |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | Josh Wise |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Derrike Cope |
| 38 | 21 | -17 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 39 | 15 | -24 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 40 | 8 | -32 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 2 | +14.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 4 | +11.1 |
| 7 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 7 | +14.1 |
| 10 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 10 | +8.5 |
| 15 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 15 | -4.6 |
| 25 | David Starr | 21.1 | 25 | -3.9 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 32 | -8.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Regan Smith: has 28 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 21.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P15 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P21. Track history: 30 starts, 16.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona?
Regan Smith won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 22, 2014.