NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa
Iowa Speedway — August 2, 2014
Brad Keselowski
Winner
250
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway on August 2, 2014, leading 146 of 250 laps. Michael McDowell finished second; Trevor Bayne rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 2, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Michael McDowell |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Trevor Bayne |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 5 | 15 | +10 | Ty Dillon |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Regan Smith |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Brian Scott |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Elliott Sadler |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Josh Berry |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Landon Cassill |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Chris Buescher |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Ryan Reed |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Mike Bliss |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | J.J. Yeley |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Chase Pistone |
| 19 | 19 | — | Kenny Wallace |
| 20 | 20 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 22 | 23 | +1 | Chad Boat |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Eric McClure |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Joey Gase |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Jeremy Clements |
| 26 | 18 | -8 | James Buescher |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Jamie Dick |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Hal Martin |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Kevin Swindell |
| 30 | 25 | -5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Carl Long |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Josh Reaume |
| 34 | 36 | +2 | Derrike Cope |
| 35 | 30 | -5 | Tanner Berryhill |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 37 | 37 | — | John Jackson |
| 38 | 32 | -6 | Blake Koch |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Mike Harmon |
| 40 | 39 | -1 | Matt Frahm |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 5 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 5 | +18.4 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 12 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 12 | +10.9 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 14 | -4.8 |
| 17 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 17 | +11.8 |
| 24 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 24 | -0.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 7 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 3.9 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish, finishing P8 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 11 starts, 8.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa was held at Iowa Speedway on August 2, 2014.