NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 8, 2014

Brad Keselowski
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders

Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 8, 2014, leading 144 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 8, 2014
Season
2014
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Brad Keselowski
2 7 +5 Kyle Busch
3 4 +1 Kyle Larson
4 3 -1 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
5 9 +4 Chase Elliott
6 6 Matt Kenseth
7 5 -2 Brian Scott
8 17 +9 Trevor Bayne
9 12 +3 Chris Buescher
10 10 Regan Smith
11 1 -10 Ty Dillon
12 11 -1 Matt Crafton
13 13 Elliott Sadler
14 20 +6 Mike Bliss
15 15 Ryan Reed
16 16 Brendan Gaughan
17 19 +2 David Ragan
18 14 -4 James Buescher
19 24 +5 Landon Cassill
20 18 -2 Blake Koch
21 25 +4 J.J. Yeley
22 22 Ryan Sieg
23 21 -2 Dakoda Armstrong
24 8 -16 Dylan Kwasniewski
25 27 +2 Tanner Berryhill
26 28 +2 Mike Wallace
27 30 +3 Eric McClure
28 38 +10 Ryan Ellis
29 26 -3 Jamie Dick
30 37 +7 Daryl Harr
31 39 +8 Robert Richardson Jr.
32 29 -3 Jeremy Clements
33 31 -2 Jeffrey Earnhardt
34 33 -1 Kevin Lepage
35 35 Derrike Cope
36 36 Joey Gase
37 23 -14 Josh Wise
38 40 +2 Matt DiBenedetto
39 34 -5 Tommy Joe Martins
40 32 -8 Jeff Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Brad Keselowski 11.2 1 +10.2
2 Kyle Busch 17.0 2 +15.0
3 Kyle Larson 12.7 3 +9.7
5 Chase Elliott 7.8 5 +2.8
9 Chris Buescher 9.2 9 +0.2
11 Ty Dillon 23.4 11 +12.4
21 J.J. Yeley 28.8 21 +7.8
36 Joey Gase 23.4 36 -12.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brad Keselowski: has 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish, finishing P5 on the day.
  • Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 52 starts, 11.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 8, 2014.