NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA

Talladega Superspeedway — May 2, 2015

Joey Logano

Winner

113

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway on May 2, 2015, leading 40 of 113 laps. Brian Scott finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, May 2, 2015

Track

Talladega Superspeedway

Season

2015

Winner

Joey Logano

Leaders

11 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	16	+15	Joey Logano		113	—	Running	40	0
2	3	+1	Brian Scott		113	—	Running	10	43
3	1	-2	Austin Dillon		113	—	Running	—	0
4	27	+23	J.J. Yeley		113	—	Running	2	41
5	39	+34	Joey Gase		113	—	Running	—	39
6	12	+6	Chris Buescher		113	—	Running	6	39
7	10	+3	Elliott Sadler		113	—	Running	19	38
8	2	-6	Ty Dillon		113	—	Running	26	37
9	11	+2	Regan Smith		113	—	Running	—	35
10	15	+5	Aric Almirola		113	—	Running	—	0
11	35	+24	Landon Cassill		113	—	Running	—	33
12	19	+7	Jeffrey Earnhardt		113	—	Running	—	32
13	25	+12	Benny Gordon		113	—	Running	—	0
14	18	+4	David Starr		113	—	Running	5	31
15	21	+6	John Wes Townley		113	—	Running	—	0
16	5	-11	Boris Said		113	—	Running	1	29
17	37	+20	Jeremy Clements		113	—	Running	—	27
18	40	+22	Peyton Sellers		113	—	Running	—	26
19	33	+14	Mario Gosselin		113	—	Running	—	25
20	8	-12	Bubba Wallace		113	—	Running	1	25
21	34	+13	Eric McClure		113	—	Running	—	23
22	13	-9	Dakoda Armstrong		113	—	Running	—	22
23	24	+1	Blake Koch		113	—	Running	—	21
24	26	+2	Cale Conley		113	—	Running	—	20
25	38	+13	Ross Chastain		111	—	Running	—	19
26	28	+2	Derek White		111	—	Running	—	18
27	32	+5	Mark Thompson	Dodge	111	—	Running	—	17
28	20	-8	Brennan Poole		110	—	Running	—	16
29	29	—	Ryan Sieg		107	—	Running	—	15
30	4	-26	Erik Jones		105	—	Running	—	0
31	6	-25	Daniel Suarez		101	—	Running	2	14
32	9	-23	Ryan Reed		99	—	Running	—	12
33	17	-16	Kasey Kahne		98	—	Running	—	0
34	23	-11	Mike Bliss		98	—	Running	—	10
35	31	-4	Chad Boat		97	—	Running	—	0
36	36	—	Harrison Rhodes		84	—	DNF	—	8
37	14	-23	Chase Elliott		84	—	DNF	1	8
38	22	-16	Kenny Wallace		72	—	DNF	—	6
39	7	-32	Brendan Gaughan		72	—	DNF	—	5
40	30	-10	Charles Lewandoski		3	—	DNF	—	4

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Joey Logano	20.5	1	+19.5	Moderate
3	Austin Dillon	23.4	3	+20.4	High Confidence
4	J.J. Yeley	25.2	4	+21.2	High Confidence
5	Joey Gase	23.7	5	+18.7	High Confidence
6	Chris Buescher	13.6	6	+7.6	Moderate
8	Ty Dillon	21.1	8	+13.1	Moderate
14	David Starr	21.1	14	+7.1	Moderate
20	Bubba Wallace	16.0	20	-4.0	Coinflip
25	Ross Chastain	17.4	25	-7.6	Coinflip
28	Brennan Poole	25.2	28	-2.8	High Confidence
30	Erik Jones	18.5	30	-11.5	Coinflip
31	Daniel Suarez	15.1	31	-15.9	Coinflip
37	Chase Elliott	10.4	37	-26.6	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Joey Logano: has 42 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 18.0 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P37 on the day.
J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P25. Track history: 28 starts, 23.1 avg finish.

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Track

Talladega Superspeedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA?

Joey Logano won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway.

Where was the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA held?

The 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA was held at Talladega Superspeedway on May 2, 2015.