UNOH 200

Bristol Motor Speedway — August 17, 2016

Ben Kennedy
Winner
200
Laps
32
Entries
5
Leaders

Ben Kennedy won the 2016 UNOH 200 at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 17, 2016, leading 20 of 200 laps. Brett Moffitt finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Wednesday, August 17, 2016
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 13 +12 Ben Kennedy
2 8 +6 Brett Moffitt
3 12 +9 Daniel Hemric
4 6 +2 William Byron
5 7 +2 Johnny Sauter
6 9 +3 Cole Custer
7 5 -2 Christopher Bell
8 16 +8 John Hunter Nemechek
9 15 +6 Brandon Jones
10 19 +9 John Wes Townley
11 10 -1 Kaz Grala
12 14 +2 Spencer Gallagher
13 25 +12 Timothy Peters
14 1 -13 Tyler Reddick
15 21 +6 Caleb Holman
16 22 +6 Jordan Anderson
17 11 -6 Jesse Little
18 27 +9 Austin Cindric
19 18 -1 Austin Hill
20 24 +4 Parker Kligerman
21 26 +5 Austin Wayne Self
22 23 +1 Stewart Friesen
23 28 +5 Brandon Brown
24 3 -21 Cameron Hayley
25 30 +5 Travis Kvapil
26 20 -6 Rico Abreu
27 31 +4 Matt Mills
28 32 +4 Bryce Napier
29 2 -27 Daniel Suarez
30 4 -26 Ben Rhodes
31 29 -2 Tommy Joe Martins
32 17 -15 Matt Crafton
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
4 William Byron 10.3 4 +6.3
6 Cole Custer 23.0 6 +17.0
7 Christopher Bell 8.6 7 +1.6
8 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 8 +12.1
14 Tyler Reddick 9.9 14 -4.1
18 Austin Cindric 17.0 18 -1.0
19 Austin Hill 20.2 19 +1.2
29 Daniel Suarez 15.6 29 -13.4

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ben Kennedy: has 5 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 15.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
  • Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P23. Track history: 17 starts, 14.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2016 UNOH 200?
Ben Kennedy won the 2016 UNOH 200 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2016 UNOH 200 held?
The 2016 UNOH 200 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 17, 2016.