NextEra Energy Resources 250 Daytona International Speedway
Daytona International Speedway — February 19, 2016
Johnny Sauter
Winner
100
Laps
32
Entries
10
Leaders
Johnny Sauter won the 2016 NextEra Energy Resources 250 Daytona International Speedway at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2016, leading 12 of 100 laps. Ryan Truex finished second; Parker Kligerman rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, February 19, 2016
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Johnny Sauter |
| 2 | 20 | +18 | Ryan Truex |
| 3 | 23 | +20 | Parker Kligerman |
| 4 | 22 | +18 | Brandon Brown |
| 5 | 32 | +27 | Travis Kvapil |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | Tyler Young |
| 7 | 24 | +17 | Ben Rhodes |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Daniel Hemric |
| 9 | 26 | +17 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Matt Crafton |
| 11 | 29 | +18 | Michel Disdier |
| 12 | 25 | +13 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 13 | 13 | — | William Byron |
| 14 | 30 | +16 | Timmy Hill |
| 15 | 3 | -12 | Timothy Peters |
| 16 | 8 | -8 | Christopher Bell |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Tyler Reddick |
| 19 | 19 | — | Austin Wayne Self |
| 20 | 1 | -19 | Grant Enfinger |
| 21 | 11 | -10 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Chris Fontaine |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Ben Kennedy |
| 24 | 10 | -14 | Cole Custer |
| 25 | 14 | -11 | Cameron Hayley |
| 26 | 7 | -19 | John Wes Townley |
| 27 | 4 | -23 | Austin Theriault |
| 28 | 5 | -23 | Daniel Suarez |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Rico Abreu |
| 30 | 27 | -3 | Jordan Anderson |
| 31 | 9 | -22 | Cody Coughlin |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Tommy Joe Martins |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 13 | William Byron | 13.9 | 13 | +0.9 |
| 14 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 14 | +8.8 |
| 16 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 16 | +1.4 |
| 17 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 17 | +3.5 |
| 18 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 18 | -4.4 |
| 24 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 24 | -0.6 |
| 28 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 28 | -12.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Johnny Sauter: has 37 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 18.8 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 13.9 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P18 on the day.
- Ryan Truex: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 12 starts, 14.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NextEra Energy Resources 250 Daytona International Speedway?
Johnny Sauter won the 2016 NextEra Energy Resources 250 Daytona International Speedway at Daytona International Speedway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2016 NextEra Energy Resources 250 Daytona International Speedway held?
The 2016 NextEra Energy Resources 250 Daytona International Speedway was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2016.