NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA
Daytona International Speedway — February 20, 2016
Chase Elliott
Winner
120
Laps
40
Entries
9
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway on February 20, 2016, leading 19 of 120 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kasey Kahne rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 20, 2016
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Kasey Kahne |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Elliott Sadler |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 7 | 7 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 9 | 9 | — | Blake Koch |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Aric Almirola |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Justin Allgaier |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Ty Dillon |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 15 | 37 | +22 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Ryan Reed |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | John Wes Townley |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | David Starr |
| 19 | 28 | +9 | Joe Nemechek |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Ryan Sieg |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Matt Tifft |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Ross Chastain |
| 23 | 3 | -20 | Bobby Labonte |
| 24 | 38 | +14 | B.J. McLeod |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Jeb Burton |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Anthony Kumpen |
| 27 | 13 | -14 | Brennan Poole |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Chris Cockrum |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Eric McClure |
| 31 | 5 | -26 | Erik Jones |
| 32 | 39 | +7 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 32 | -1 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 34 | 17 | -17 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | 22 | -13 | Benny Gordon |
| 36 | 26 | -10 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 37 | 40 | +3 | Jeff Green |
| 38 | 34 | -4 | Martin Roy |
| 39 | 27 | -12 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 40 | 31 | -9 | Ryan Preece |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 5 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 5 | +18.4 |
| 6 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 6 | +10.0 |
| 8 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 8 | +7.1 |
| 12 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 12 | +9.1 |
| 13 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 13 | +8.1 |
| 18 | David Starr | 21.1 | 18 | +3.1 |
| 22 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 22 | -4.6 |
| 24 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 24 | +1.5 |
| 27 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 27 | -1.8 |
| 31 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 31 | -12.5 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 32 | -8.3 |
| 34 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 34 | -15.5 |
| 40 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 40 | -18.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 44 starts, 15.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA?
Chase Elliott won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA held?
The 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 20, 2016.