NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN
Michigan International Speedway — June 11, 2016
Daniel Suarez
Winner
125
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Daniel Suarez won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway on June 11, 2016, leading 4 of 125 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Paul Menard rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 11, 2016
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Paul Menard |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Erik Jones |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Brandon Jones |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Brennan Poole |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Blake Koch |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Ryan Reed |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Ty Dillon |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Garrett Smithley |
| 18 | 14 | -4 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Ryan Preece |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 22 | 16 | -6 | Justin Marks |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 27 | 37 | +10 | Martin Roy |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | T.J. Bell |
| 29 | 36 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 30 | 38 | +8 | Todd Peck |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Derrike Cope |
| 32 | 35 | +3 | Chris Cockrum |
| 33 | 23 | -10 | Jeff Green |
| 34 | 28 | -6 | B.J. McLeod |
| 35 | 33 | -2 | Mario Gosselin |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | John Jackson |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | Josh Williams |
| 39 | 27 | -12 | Josh Wise |
| 40 | 25 | -15 | Matt DiBenedetto |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 4 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 4 | +12.7 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 6 | +8.7 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 7 | +6.5 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 11 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 11 | +13.7 |
| 15 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 16 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 19 | -8.9 |
| 20 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 20 | +8.8 |
| 25 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 25 | -1.6 |
| 34 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 34 | -9.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Daniel Suarez: has 11 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Preece: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish, finishing P19 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 55 starts, 12.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN?
Daniel Suarez won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN held?
The 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 11, 2016.