NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA
Daytona International Speedway — February 25, 2017
Ryan Reed
Winner
124
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Ryan Reed won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway on February 25, 2017, leading 9 of 124 laps. Kasey Kahne finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 25, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Ryan Reed |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Kasey Kahne |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Austin Dillon |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 18 | +13 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 6 | 25 | +19 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 7 | 35 | +28 | Joey Gase |
| 8 | 26 | +18 | Garrett Smithley |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | William Byron |
| 10 | 34 | +24 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Matt Tifft |
| 12 | 23 | +11 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 13 | 31 | +18 | Brandon Hightower |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Michael Annett |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Blake Koch |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Ross Chastain |
| 17 | 39 | +22 | Mario Gosselin |
| 18 | 36 | +18 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 19 | 5 | -14 | Ty Dillon |
| 20 | 7 | -13 | Tyler Reddick |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Anthony Kumpen |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Aric Almirola |
| 24 | 11 | -13 | Elliott Sadler |
| 25 | 24 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 26 | 3 | -23 | Brennan Poole |
| 27 | 27 | — | Benny Gordon |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Chris Cockrum |
| 29 | 1 | -28 | Brandon Jones |
| 30 | 15 | -15 | Justin Allgaier |
| 31 | 4 | -27 | Daniel Hemric |
| 32 | 19 | -13 | Erik Jones |
| 33 | 12 | -21 | Bubba Wallace |
| 34 | 21 | -13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 36 | 10 | -26 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 37 | 20 | -17 | Cole Custer |
| 38 | 38 | — | Clint King |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 33 | -7 | David Starr |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 3 | +20.4 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 7 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 7 | +16.7 |
| 9 | William Byron | 13.9 | 9 | +4.9 |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 16 | +1.4 |
| 19 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 19 | +2.1 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 20 | -6.4 |
| 25 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 25 | +0.2 |
| 26 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 26 | -0.8 |
| 30 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 30 | -8.9 |
| 32 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 32 | -13.5 |
| 33 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 33 | -17.0 |
| 34 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 34 | -18.9 |
| 37 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 37 | -13.6 |
| 40 | David Starr | 21.1 | 40 | -18.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Reed: has 9 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 9.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 13.9 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P20 on the day.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 36 starts, 14.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA?
Ryan Reed won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 25, 2017.