NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL
Bristol Motor Speedway — April 22, 2017
Erik Jones
Winner
300
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Erik Jones won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 22, 2017, leading 27 of 300 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Daniel Suarez rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 22, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Erik Jones |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Elliott Sadler |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 6 | 6 | — | Ty Dillon |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Kyle Larson |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Brennan Poole |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Blake Koch |
| 10 | 28 | +18 | Michael Annett |
| 11 | 30 | +19 | J.J. Yeley |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | William Byron |
| 13 | 2 | -11 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Justin Allgaier |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Quin Houff |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Matt Tifft |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 19 | 31 | +12 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 20 | 18 | -2 | Brandon Jones |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Ryan Sieg |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Josh Williams |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | Timmy Hill |
| 25 | 37 | +12 | Jeff Green |
| 26 | 22 | -4 | Jeb Burton |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Carl Long |
| 28 | 38 | +10 | Joey Gase |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 40 | +10 | Mike Harmon |
| 31 | 11 | -20 | Ross Chastain |
| 32 | 3 | -29 | Cole Custer |
| 33 | 14 | -19 | Bubba Wallace |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Garrett Smithley |
| 35 | 12 | -23 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 36 | 27 | -9 | David Starr |
| 37 | 25 | -12 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 38 | 24 | -14 | Ryan Reed |
| 39 | 39 | — | Morgan Shepherd |
| 40 | 33 | -7 | Jordan Anderson |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 1 | +16.7 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 6 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 6 | +18.3 |
| 7 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 7 | +1.6 |
| 8 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 8 | +15.1 |
| 11 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 11 | +17.1 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.3 | 12 | -1.7 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 14 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 14 | +3.7 |
| 24 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 24 | +0.3 |
| 28 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 28 | -6.0 |
| 29 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 29 | -3.4 |
| 31 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 31 | -17.2 |
| 32 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 32 | -9.0 |
| 33 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 33 | -19.0 |
| 36 | David Starr | 20.2 | 36 | -15.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Erik Jones: has 22 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P24. Track history: 29 starts, 17.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL?
Erik Jones won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 22, 2017.