NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON
Darlington Raceway — September 2, 2017
Denny Hamlin
Winner
148
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway on September 2, 2017, leading 33 of 148 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 2, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Erik Jones |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | William Byron |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Brennan Poole |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Ty Dillon |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Blake Koch |
| 12 | 15 | +3 | Ben Kennedy |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 14 | 16 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Ryan Reed |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Michael Annett |
| 18 | 3 | -15 | Daniel Hemric |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Brandon Brown |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Ryan Sieg |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Brandon Jones |
| 24 | 36 | +12 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Garrett Smithley |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | B.J. McLeod |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 29 | 24 | -5 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 30 | 23 | -7 | Dylan Lupton |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Timmy Hill |
| 33 | 7 | -26 | Elliott Sadler |
| 34 | 20 | -14 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Mike Harmon |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | David Starr |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 38 | 38 | — | Carl Long |
| 39 | 28 | -11 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 14 | -26 | Matt Tifft |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2 | +12.7 |
| 4 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 4 | +12.7 |
| 5 | William Byron | 10.7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| 6 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 6 | +18.7 |
| 7 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 7 | +16.4 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 14 | -0.7 |
| 16 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 16 | -9.8 |
| 19 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 19 | +9.8 |
| 27 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 27 | -2.2 |
| 28 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 28 | -4.6 |
| 32 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 32 | -8.1 |
| 36 | David Starr | 20.9 | 36 | -15.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.6 avg finish (10 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P16 on the day.
- Brennan Poole: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P25. Track history: 12 starts, 22.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON?
Denny Hamlin won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON was held at Darlington Raceway on September 2, 2017.