NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS

Kansas Speedway — October 21, 2017

Christopher Bell
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders

Christopher Bell won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway on October 21, 2017, leading 4 of 200 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 21, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 4 +3 Christopher Bell
2 1 -1 Tyler Reddick
3 3 Ryan Blaney
4 6 +2 William Byron
5 13 +8 Justin Allgaier
6 5 -1 Austin Dillon
7 11 +4 Elliott Sadler
8 8 Matt Tifft
9 16 +7 Ty Dillon
10 15 +5 Ryan Reed
11 12 +1 Brandon Jones
12 9 -3 Brennan Poole
13 24 +11 Brendan Gaughan
14 20 +6 Michael Annett
15 2 -13 Erik Jones
16 19 +3 Dylan Lupton
17 21 +4 Ross Chastain
18 10 -8 Daniel Hemric
19 7 -12 Cole Custer
20 23 +3 J.J. Yeley
21 14 -7 Spencer Gallagher
22 31 +9 Quin Houff
23 18 -5 Blake Koch
24 28 +4 Harrison Rhodes
25 22 -3 Jeremy Clements
26 17 -9 Ryan Sieg
27 32 +5 David Starr
28 34 +6 Garrett Smithley
29 36 +7 Mario Gosselin
30 35 +5 Joey Gase
31 40 +9 Bobby Earnhardt
32 26 -6 B.J. McLeod
33 38 +5 Spencer Boyd
34 33 -1 Josh Berry
35 39 +4 Jennifer Cobb
36 30 -6 Timmy Hill
37 37 Morgan Shepherd
38 27 -11 Reed Sorenson
39 29 -10 Gray Gaulding
40 25 -15 Jeff Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Christopher Bell 10.7 1 +9.7
2 Tyler Reddick 6.2 2 +4.2
3 Ryan Blaney 9.2 3 +6.2
4 William Byron 10.7 4 +6.7
5 Justin Allgaier 18.3 5 +13.3
6 Austin Dillon 17.1 6 +11.1
9 Ty Dillon 23.4 9 +14.4
12 Brennan Poole 24.7 12 +12.7
15 Erik Jones 16.7 15 +1.7
17 Ross Chastain 13.3 17 -3.7
19 Cole Custer 22.9 19 +3.9
20 J.J. Yeley 28.8 20 +8.8
27 David Starr 20.9 27 -6.1
30 Joey Gase 23.4 30 -6.6
32 B.J. McLeod 24.8 32 -7.2
34 Josh Berry 22.9 34 -11.1
36 Timmy Hill 23.9 36 -12.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Christopher Bell: has 18 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
  • Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P9 vs predicted P23. Track history: 19 starts, 18.8 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS?
Christopher Bell won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS was held at Kansas Speedway on October 21, 2017.