NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA
Talladega Superspeedway — May 6, 2017
Aric Almirola
Winner
113
Laps
40
Entries
14
Leaders
Aric Almirola won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway on May 6, 2017, leading 13 of 113 laps. Elliott Sadler finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 6, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | +22 | Aric Almirola |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Elliott Sadler |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 4 | — | Ben Kennedy |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Erik Jones |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Matt Tifft |
| 7 | 21 | +14 | Michael Annett |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Daniel Suarez |
| 10 | 40 | +30 | Jeff Green |
| 11 | 31 | +20 | J.J. Yeley |
| 12 | 30 | +18 | Ryan Sieg |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 2 | -13 | Kasey Kahne |
| 16 | 35 | +19 | Joey Gase |
| 17 | 37 | +20 | Timmy Hill |
| 18 | 32 | +14 | David Starr |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 21 | 29 | +8 | Garrett Smithley |
| 22 | 38 | +16 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 23 | 15 | -8 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 24 | 12 | -12 | Brennan Poole |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Mike Harmon |
| 26 | 13 | -13 | Cole Custer |
| 27 | 39 | +12 | Jeremy Clements |
| 28 | 26 | -2 | Mark Thompson |
| 29 | 11 | -18 | Ryan Reed |
| 30 | 17 | -13 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 31 | 1 | -30 | Blake Koch |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Martin Roy |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Chris Cockrum |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 35 | 33 | -2 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 36 | 9 | -27 | William Byron |
| 37 | 5 | -32 | Brandon Jones |
| 38 | 3 | -35 | Daniel Hemric |
| 39 | 20 | -19 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 40 | 34 | -6 | Ray Black, Jr. |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.3 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 3 | +17.5 |
| 5 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 5 | +13.5 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 8 | +13.1 |
| 9 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 9 | +6.1 |
| 11 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 11 | +14.2 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 14 | +7.1 |
| 16 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 16 | +7.7 |
| 17 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 17 | +5.8 |
| 18 | David Starr | 21.1 | 18 | +3.1 |
| 19 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 19 | -1.6 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 20 | -6.4 |
| 24 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 24 | +1.2 |
| 26 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 26 | -2.6 |
| 36 | William Byron | 13.9 | 36 | -22.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Aric Almirola: has 39 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.1 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P20 on the day.
- Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 42 starts, 18.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA?
Aric Almirola won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA was held at Talladega Superspeedway on May 6, 2017.