Ford EcoBoost 200
Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 16, 2018
Brett Moffitt
Winner
134
Laps
32
Entries
7
Leaders
Brett Moffitt won the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 16, 2018, leading 59 of 134 laps. Grant Enfinger finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, November 16, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Brett Moffitt |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Grant Enfinger |
| 3 | 3 | — | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Stewart Friesen |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Sheldon Creed |
| 6 | 22 | +16 | Matt Crafton |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Justin Haley |
| 9 | 9 | — | Jesse Little |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Ben Rhodes |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Harrison Burton |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Johnny Sauter |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Todd Gilliland |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Myatt Snider |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Tyler Dippel |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Ross Chastain |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Cory Roper |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Jeb Burton |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Brennan Poole |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Jordan Anderson |
| 21 | 16 | -5 | Austin Hill |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Justin Fontaine |
| 23 | 24 | +1 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 24 | 10 | -14 | Chris Windom |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Ray Ciccarelli |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | D.J. Kennington |
| 27 | 18 | -9 | Robby Lyons |
| 28 | 28 | — | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Tanner Thorson |
| 30 | 30 | — | Reid Wilson |
| 31 | 20 | -11 | Joe Nemechek |
| 32 | 32 | — | Camden Murphy |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Moffitt | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | 1 | 3 | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Stewart Friesen | 7 | 6 | — | — |
| Sheldon Creed | 10 | 9 | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | 5 | 4 | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 4 | 5 | — | — |
| Justin Haley | 6 | 8 | — | — |
| Jesse Little | 8 | 7 | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | 9 | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Johnny Sauter | — | 10 | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Myatt Snider | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Dippel | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Cory Roper | — | — | — | — |
| Jeb Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Fontaine | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Windom | — | — | — | — |
| Ray Ciccarelli | — | — | — | — |
| D.J. Kennington | — | — | — | — |
| Robby Lyons | — | — | — | — |
| Jennifer Jo Cobb | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Thorson | — | — | — | — |
| Reid Wilson | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Camden Murphy | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 3 | +18.4 |
| 7 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 7 | +12.1 |
| 8 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 8 | +11.9 |
| 13 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 13 | +6.1 |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 16 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 19 | +5.7 |
| 21 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 21 | -0.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brett Moffitt: has 8 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 23.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 18 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish, finishing P16 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 10 starts, 11.7 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 200?
Brett Moffitt won the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Hattori Racing Enterprises.
Where was the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 200 held?
The 2018 Ford EcoBoost 200 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 16, 2018.