Corrigan Oil 200
Michigan International Speedway — August 11, 2018
Brett Moffitt
Winner
100
Laps
32
Entries
9
Leaders
Brett Moffitt won the 2018 Corrigan Oil 200 at Michigan International Speedway on August 11, 2018, leading 5 of 100 laps. Johnny Sauter finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 11, 2018
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | +20 | Brett Moffitt |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Johnny Sauter |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Noah Gragson |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Todd Gilliland |
| 6 | 17 | +11 | Ben Rhodes |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Grant Enfinger |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Stewart Friesen |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | Justin Haley |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Matt Crafton |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Dalton Sargeant |
| 13 | 18 | +5 | Jordan Anderson |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Cody Coughlin |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Tate Fogleman |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Wendell Chavous |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Bo LeMastus |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | Myatt Snider |
| 19 | 10 | -9 | Austin Hill |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | Josh Reaume |
| 21 | 31 | +10 | Norm Benning |
| 22 | 12 | -10 | Spencer Davis |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 24 | 24 | — | Korbin Forrister |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Justin Fontaine |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Todd Peck |
| 27 | 32 | +5 | Bayley Currey |
| 28 | 28 | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 29 | 27 | -2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 15 | -15 | Joe Nemechek |
| 31 | 4 | -27 | Matt Mills |
| 32 | 25 | -7 | Timmy Hill |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Moffitt | — | 3 | — | — |
| Johnny Sauter | 8 | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 2 | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | 4 | 4 | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | 3 | 8 | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | 6 | — | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | 5 | 1 | — | — |
| Stewart Friesen | 1 | 9 | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | 7 | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | — | 6 | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | 5 | — | — |
| Dalton Sargeant | — | 10 | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Coughlin | 10 | — | — | — |
| Tate Fogleman | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell Chavous | — | — | — | — |
| Bo LeMastus | — | — | — | — |
| Myatt Snider | 7 | 2 | — | — |
| Austin Hill | 9 | — | — | — |
| Josh Reaume | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Benning | — | — | — | — |
| Spencer Davis | — | — | — | — |
| Jennifer Jo Cobb | — | — | — | — |
| Korbin Forrister | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Fontaine | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Peck | — | — | — | — |
| Bayley Currey | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Mills | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 3 | +16.1 |
| 4 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 4 | +17.4 |
| 5 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 5 | +14.1 |
| 9 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 9 | +10.9 |
| 19 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 19 | +1.9 |
| 29 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 29 | -4.2 |
| 32 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 32 | -8.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brett Moffitt: has 11 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- John Hunter Nemechek: was the model’s top pick based on 11 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 15.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 8 starts, 8.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Corrigan Oil 200?
Brett Moffitt won the 2018 Corrigan Oil 200 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Hattori Racing Enterprises.
Where was the 2018 Corrigan Oil 200 held?
The 2018 Corrigan Oil 200 was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 11, 2018.