Lucas Oil 150
Phoenix Raceway — November 8, 2019
Stewart Friesen
Winner
150
Laps
32
Entries
7
Leaders
Stewart Friesen won the 2019 Lucas Oil 150 at Phoenix Raceway on November 8, 2019, leading 44 of 150 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, November 8, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Stewart Friesen |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Brandon Jones |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Chandler Smith |
| 4 | 4 | — | Ben Rhodes |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Grant Enfinger |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Matt Crafton |
| 7 | 32 | +25 | Harrison Burton |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Johnny Sauter |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Brett Moffitt |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Ty Majeski |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Sheldon Creed |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Austin Hill |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Todd Gilliland |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Tyler Dippel |
| 16 | 16 | — | Dylan Lupton |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Tanner Gray |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Sam Mayer |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Gus Dean |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Colby Howard |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Natalie Decker |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Carson Hocevar |
| 24 | 13 | -11 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Kyle Plott |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 27 | 27 | — | Danny Bohn |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Jordan Anderson |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Carson Ware |
| 31 | 23 | -8 | Derek Kraus |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Joe Nemechek |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Friesen | 9 | 4 | — | — |
| Brandon Jones | — | 1 | — | — |
| Chandler Smith | 2 | 3 | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | 1 | — | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | 8 | — | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | 5 | — | — |
| Johnny Sauter | 10 | 10 | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | 4 | — | — | — |
| Brett Moffitt | 5 | 9 | — | — |
| Ty Majeski | — | — | — | — |
| Sheldon Creed | — | 8 | — | — |
| Austin Hill | 7 | 6 | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | 6 | 7 | — | — |
| Tyler Dippel | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Lupton | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Gray | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Mayer | — | — | — | — |
| Gus Dean | — | — | — | — |
| Colby Howard | — | — | — | — |
| Natalie Decker | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Plott | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Ankrum | — | — | — | — |
| Danny Bohn | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Derek Kraus | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 9 | +4.8 |
| 13 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 13 | +7.2 |
| 14 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 14 | +3.1 |
| 23 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 23 | -8.3 |
| 24 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 24 | -2.0 |
| 29 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 29 | -8.9 |
| 31 | Derek Kraus | 22.2 | 31 | -8.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Stewart Friesen: has 8 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 9.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.6 avg finish (1 win), finishing P9 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Lucas Oil 150?
Stewart Friesen won the 2019 Lucas Oil 150 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Halmar Friesen Racing.
Where was the 2019 Lucas Oil 150 held?
The 2019 Lucas Oil 150 was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 8, 2019.