NASCAR Hall of Fame 200

Martinsville Speedway — October 26, 2019

Todd Gilliland
Winner
201
Laps
32
Entries
7
Leaders

Todd Gilliland won the 2019 NASCAR Hall of Fame 200 at Martinsville Speedway on October 26, 2019, leading 11 of 201 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Johnny Sauter rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 26, 2019
Season
2019
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 11 +10 Todd Gilliland
2 12 +10 Ross Chastain
3 6 +3 Johnny Sauter
4 9 +5 Grant Enfinger
5 22 +17 Timmy Hill
6 7 +1 Stewart Friesen
7 10 +3 John Hunter Nemechek
8 19 +11 Danny Bohn
9 24 +15 Jeb Burton
10 18 +8 Codie Rohrbaugh
11 14 +3 Sheldon Creed
12 25 +13 Jordan Anderson
13 27 +14 Dawson Cram
14 16 +2 Gus Dean
15 23 +8 Spencer Boyd
16 8 -8 Ben Rhodes
17 1 -16 Christian Eckes
18 3 -15 Harrison Burton
19 20 +1 Austin Wayne Self
20 15 -5 Tanner Gray
21 28 +7 Ray Ciccarelli
22 26 +4 Natalie Decker
23 4 -19 Matt Crafton
24 30 +6 Norm Benning
25 5 -20 Tyler Ankrum
26 17 -9 Austin Hill
27 31 +4 Jennifer Jo Cobb
28 21 -7 Sam Mayer
29 2 -27 Brett Moffitt
30 13 -17 Tyler Dippel
31 29 -2 Josh Reaume
32 32 Cody McMahan
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Todd Gilliland
Ross Chastain 10 4
Johnny Sauter 5 8
Grant Enfinger 9 2
Timmy Hill
Stewart Friesen 8 10
John Hunter Nemechek
Danny Bohn 9
Jeb Burton
Codie Rohrbaugh
Sheldon Creed
Jordan Anderson
Dawson Cram
Gus Dean
Spencer Boyd
Ben Rhodes 3
Christian Eckes 2 5
Harrison Burton 6
Austin Wayne Self
Tanner Gray
Ray Ciccarelli
Natalie Decker
Matt Crafton 4
Norm Benning
Tyler Ankrum 7
Austin Hill 3
Jennifer Jo Cobb
Sam Mayer 1
Brett Moffitt 1 7
Tyler Dippel 6
Josh Reaume
Cody McMahan
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Todd Gilliland 17.1 1 +16.1
2 Ross Chastain 13.8 2 +11.8
5 Timmy Hill 24.3 5 +19.3
7 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 7 +13.1
26 Austin Hill 20.2 26 -5.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Todd Gilliland: has 13 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 14.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
  • Timmy Hill: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P24. Track history: 18 starts, 23.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 NASCAR Hall of Fame 200?
Todd Gilliland won the 2019 NASCAR Hall of Fame 200 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR Hall of Fame 200 held?
The 2019 NASCAR Hall of Fame 200 was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 26, 2019.