NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Talladega
Talladega Superspeedway — October 2, 2021
Tate Fogleman
Winner
99
Laps
40
Entries
12
Leaders
Tate Fogleman won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway on October 2, 2021, leading 1 of 99 laps. Tyler Hill finished second; Todd Gilliland rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 2, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | +19 | Tate Fogleman |
| 2 | 21 | +19 | Tyler Hill |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Todd Gilliland |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Ryan Truex |
| 6 | 31 | +25 | Cory Roper |
| 7 | 28 | +21 | Spencer Boyd |
| 8 | 23 | +15 | Danny Bohn |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | Chase Purdy |
| 10 | 38 | +28 | Keith McGee |
| 11 | 34 | +23 | Jordan Anderson |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Sheldon Creed |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Ben Rhodes |
| 14 | 3 | -11 | Matt Crafton |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Bret Holmes |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Codie Rohrbaugh |
| 17 | 39 | +22 | Norm Benning |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Willie Allen |
| 19 | 10 | -9 | Chandler Smith |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Derek Kraus |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Grant Enfinger |
| 22 | 4 | -18 | Stewart Friesen |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Clay Greenfield |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Hailie Deegan |
| 25 | 6 | -19 | Carson Hocevar |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Dylan Lupton |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Jason M. White |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 30 | 11 | -19 | Johnny Sauter |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | Jennifer Cobb |
| 32 | 5 | -27 | Austin Hill |
| 33 | 8 | -25 | Zane Smith |
| 34 | 22 | -12 | Tanner Gray |
| 35 | 18 | -17 | Drew Dollar |
| 36 | 16 | -20 | Kris Wright |
| 37 | 37 | — | Parker Kligerman |
| 38 | 36 | -2 | Lawless Alan |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Bryan Dauzat |
| 40 | 24 | -16 | Jack Wood |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 3 | +19.9 |
| 4 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 4 | +16.5 |
| 5 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 5 | +15.5 |
| 20 | Derek Kraus | 22.8 | 20 | +2.8 |
| 25 | Carson Hocevar | 19.4 | 25 | -5.6 |
| 32 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 32 | -8.0 |
| 33 | Zane Smith | 22.9 | 33 | -10.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Carson Hocevar: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 13.5 avg finish (1 win), finishing P25 on the day.
- Todd Gilliland: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 13.6 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Talladega?
Tate Fogleman won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Talladega held?
The 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Talladega was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 2, 2021.