NASCAR Truck Series at Charlotte

Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 27, 2022

Ross Chastain
Winner
143
Laps
35
Entries
9
Leaders

Ross Chastain won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 27, 2022, leading 4 of 143 laps. Grant Enfinger finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, May 27, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 5 +4 Ross Chastain
2 11 +9 Grant Enfinger
3 15 +12 John Hunter Nemechek
4 9 +5 Christian Eckes
5 2 -3 Zane Smith
6 6 Tanner Gray
7 3 -4 Kyle Busch
8 7 -1 Chandler Smith
9 13 +4 Stewart Friesen
10 12 +2 Ben Rhodes
11 8 -3 Ryan Preece
12 16 +4 Derek Kraus
13 1 -12 Ty Majeski
14 20 +6 Colby Howard
15 17 +2 Chase Purdy
16 4 -12 Carson Hocevar
17 10 -7 Matt DiBenedetto
18 18 Matt Crafton
19 22 +3 Kris Wright
20 25 +5 Tyler Ankrum
21 30 +9 Timmy Hill
22 33 +11 Lawless Alan
23 19 -4 Jack Wood
24 27 +3 Spencer Boyd
25 26 +1 Austin Wayne Self
26 31 +5 Max Gutierrez
27 35 +8 Hailie Deegan
28 24 -4 Dean Thompson
29 21 -8 Tate Fogleman
30 29 -1 Blaine Perkins
31 32 +1 Josh Reaume
32 14 -18 Jesse Little
33 34 +1 Keith McGee
34 23 -11 Matt Mills
35 28 -7 Brennan Poole
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ross Chastain 13.3 1 +12.3
3 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 3 +16.1
5 Zane Smith 19.1 5 +14.1
7 Kyle Busch 17.0 7 +10.0
11 Ryan Preece 10.1 11 -0.9
12 Derek Kraus 26.1 12 +14.1
16 Carson Hocevar 13.1 16 -2.9
21 Timmy Hill 23.9 21 +2.9
35 Brennan Poole 24.7 35 -10.3

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ross Chastain: has 24 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Preece: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.3 avg finish, finishing P11 on the day.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P19. Track history: 12 starts, 13.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Charlotte?
Ross Chastain won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Charlotte held?
The 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 27, 2022.