NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — May 13, 2023

Kyle Larson

Winner

147

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kyle Larson won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on May 13, 2023, leading 46 of 147 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Cole Custer rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, May 13, 2023

Track

Darlington Raceway

Season

2023

Winner

Kyle Larson

Leaders

9 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	3	+2	Kyle Larson	147	—	Running	46	0
2	17	+15	Justin Allgaier	147	—	Running	2	43
3	5	+2	Cole Custer	147	—	Running	—	47
4	10	+6	Austin Hill	147	—	Running	2	46
5	1	-4	John Hunter Nemechek	147	—	Running	57	51
6	25	+19	Carson Hocevar	147	—	Running	3	0
7	13	+6	Josh Berry	147	—	Running	—	33
8	4	-4	Sam Mayer	147	—	Running	35	42
9	26	+17	Kaz Grala	147	—	Running	—	28
10	24	+14	Corey Heim	147	—	Running	—	0
11	9	-2	Sammy Smith	147	—	Running	—	27
12	15	+3	Jeb Burton	147	—	Running	—	25
13	23	+10	Parker Kligerman	147	—	Running	—	26
14	19	+5	Jeremy Clements	147	—	Running	1	23
15	20	+5	Anthony Alfredo	147	—	Running	—	22
16	12	-4	Daniel Hemric	147	—	Running	—	23
17	27	+10	Josh Williams	147	—	Running	—	20
18	21	+3	Ross Chastain	147	—	Running	—	0
19	30	+11	Ty Dillon	147	—	Running	—	0
20	14	-6	Brett Moffitt	147	—	Running	—	18
21	31	+10	Patrick Emerling	147	—	Running	1	16
22	28	+6	Stefan Parsons	147	—	Running	—	15
23	35	+12	Brennan Poole	147	—	Running	—	14
24	8	-16	Parker Retzlaff	147	—	Running	—	13
25	7	-18	Sheldon Creed	147	—	Running	—	16
26	33	+7	Jeffrey Earnhardt	147	—	Running	—	11
27	16	-11	Ryan Sieg	146	—	Running	—	14
28	34	+6	Matt Mills	146	—	Running	—	0
29	36	+7	Gray Gaulding	146	—	Running	1	8
30	29	-1	Kyle Sieg	146	—	Running	—	7
31	22	-9	Sage Karam	144	—	Running	—	6
32	37	+5	Joe Graf Jr.	140	—	Running	—	5
33	32	-1	Ryan Ellis	74	—	DNF	—	4
34	11	-23	Brandon Jones	68	—	DNF	—	6
35	2	-33	Ryan Truex	68	—	DNF	—	7
36	6	-30	Chandler Smith	67	—	DNF	—	1
37	38	+1	Blaine Perkins	35	—	DNF	—	1
38	18	-20	Riley Herbst	29	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Kyle Larson	12.7	1	+11.7	Coinflip
2	Justin Allgaier	18.3	2	+16.3	Coinflip
3	Cole Custer	22.9	3	+19.9	High Confidence
4	Austin Hill	20.9	4	+16.9	Moderate
5	John Hunter Nemechek	19.1	5	+14.1	Moderate
6	Carson Hocevar	13.1	6	+7.1	Coinflip
7	Josh Berry	22.9	7	+15.9	High Confidence
10	Corey Heim	20.9	10	+10.9	Moderate
15	Anthony Alfredo	20.9	15	+5.9	Moderate
18	Ross Chastain	13.3	18	-4.7	Coinflip
19	Ty Dillon	23.4	19	+4.4	High Confidence
23	Brennan Poole	24.7	23	+1.7	Moderate
35	Ryan Truex	15.4	35	-19.6	Coinflip
38	Riley Herbst	21.4	38	-16.6	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kyle Larson: has 27 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 11.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington?

Kyle Larson won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.

Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington held?

The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on May 13, 2023.