NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona

Daytona International Speedway — August 23, 2024

Ryan Truex
Winner
102
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders

Ryan Truex won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on August 23, 2024, leading 28 of 102 laps. Chandler Smith finished second; Parker Kligerman rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, August 23, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 6 +5 Ryan Truex
2 1 -1 Chandler Smith
3 12 +9 Parker Kligerman
4 8 +4 Riley Herbst
5 26 +21 Ryan Sieg
6 25 +19 Jordan Anderson
7 11 +4 Justin Allgaier
8 7 -1 Sheldon Creed
9 20 +11 Leland Honeyman Jr.
10 18 +8 Kyle Weatherman
11 10 -1 Josh Williams
12 4 -8 Joe Graf Jr.
13 38 +25 Sam Mayer
14 29 +15 Blaine Perkins
15 34 +19 Kyle Sieg
16 31 +15 Brennan Poole
17 21 +4 Jeb Burton
18 23 +5 Patrick Emerling
19 30 +11 C.J. McLaughlin
20 35 +15 Joey Gase
21 5 -16 Jesse Love
22 16 -6 Brandon Jones
23 24 +1 Sammy Smith
24 3 -21 A.J. Allmendinger
25 19 -6 Shane van Gisbergen
26 9 -17 Anthony Alfredo
27 13 -14 Jeremy Clements
28 22 -6 Jeffrey Earnhardt
29 17 -12 Caesar Bacarella
30 33 +3 Josh Bilicki
31 2 -29 Austin Hill
32 14 -18 Cole Custer
33 28 -5 Matt DiBenedetto
34 15 -19 Parker Retzlaff
35 37 +2 Tim Viens
36 27 -9 Gus Dean
37 36 -1 Ryan Ellis
38 32 -6 Akinori Ogata
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ryan Truex 20.5 1 +19.5
4 Riley Herbst 23.7 4 +19.7
7 Justin Allgaier 21.1 7 +14.1
16 Brennan Poole 25.2 16 +9.2
20 Joey Gase 23.7 20 +3.7
21 Jesse Love 22.9 21 +1.9
24 A.J. Allmendinger 20.1 24 -3.9
25 Shane van Gisbergen 23.4 25 -1.6
26 Anthony Alfredo 23.7 26 -2.3
30 Josh Bilicki 25.5 30 -4.5
31 Austin Hill 24.0 31 -7.0
32 Cole Custer 23.4 32 -8.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ryan Truex: has 12 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 14.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • A.J. Allmendinger: was the model’s top pick based on 38 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 19.7 avg finish, finishing P24 on the day.
  • Riley Herbst: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P24. Track history: 17 starts, 14.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona?
Ryan Truex won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 23, 2024.