NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas
Kansas Speedway, September 28, 2024
Aric Almirola
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders
Aric Almirola won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on September 28, 2024, leading 16 of 200 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 28, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Chandler Smith |
| 4 | 4 | — | Connor Zilisch |
| 5 | 15 | +10 | Sheldon Creed |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Austin Hill |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Jesse Love |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Riley Herbst |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Josh Williams |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Parker Kligerman |
| 13 | 5 | -8 | Sam Mayer |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Ryan Sieg |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Brennan Poole |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Ryan Ellis |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | J.J. Yeley |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 22 | 13 | -9 | Sammy Smith |
| 23 | 19 | -4 | Jeb Burton |
| 24 | 21 | -3 | Kyle Sieg |
| 25 | 38 | +13 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 26 | 33 | +7 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 27 | 26 | -1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Blaine Perkins |
| 29 | 36 | +7 | Ryan Vargas |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Patrick Emerling |
| 31 | 17 | -14 | Corey Heim |
| 32 | 34 | +2 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 31 | -2 | Logan Bearden |
| 34 | 30 | -4 | Daniel Dye |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | Dawson Cram |
| 36 | 9 | -27 | Justin Allgaier |
| 37 | 37 | — | Brad Perez |
| 38 | 11 | -27 | Taylor Gray |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 2 | +20.0 |
| 4 | Connor Zilisch | 26.1 | 4 | +22.1 |
| 7 | Austin Hill | 26.4 | 7 | +19.4 |
| 8 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 9 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 9 | +12.0 |
| 10 | Riley Herbst | 19.9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| 15 | Anthony Alfredo | 21.4 | 15 | +6.4 |
| 17 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 17 | +0.1 |
| 18 | Brennan Poole | 23.4 | 18 | +5.4 |
| 20 | J.J. Yeley | 28.6 | 20 | +8.6 |
| 31 | Corey Heim | 14.5 | 31 | -16.5 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 22.9 | 32 | -9.1 |
| 34 | Daniel Dye | 21.4 | 34 | -12.6 |
| 36 | Justin Allgaier | 17.1 | 36 | -18.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Aric Almirola: has 28 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 18.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Corey Heim: was the model’s top pick based on 11 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.0 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P31 on the day.
- Connor Zilisch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P26. Track history: 3 starts, 11.7 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas?
Aric Almirola won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on September 28, 2024.