NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 2, 2024
John Hunter Nemechek
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders
John Hunter Nemechek won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 2, 2024, leading 99 of 200 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 2, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +11 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Chandler Smith |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Austin Hill |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Riley Herbst |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Ryan Sieg |
| 8 | 8 | — | Sammy Smith |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Brandon Jones |
| 10 | 36 | +26 | Justin Allgaier |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Parker Kligerman |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Aric Almirola |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Corey Heim |
| 14 | 32 | +18 | Josh Williams |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | Hailie Deegan |
| 16 | 37 | +21 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Jesse Love |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Brennan Poole |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | Kyle Sieg |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 22 | 23 | +1 | Ryan Ellis |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | Jeb Burton |
| 24 | 22 | -2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 25 | 17 | -8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 26 | 9 | -17 | Sheldon Creed |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Nick Leitz |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Patrick Emerling |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Garrett Smithley |
| 30 | 38 | +8 | Joey Gase |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | Blaine Perkins |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | B.J. McLeod |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 34 | 26 | -8 | Dawson Cram |
| 35 | 4 | -31 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Sage Karam |
| 37 | 25 | -12 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Sam Mayer |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 1 | +18.1 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 4 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 5 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 5 | +16.4 |
| 6 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 6 | +12.3 |
| 10 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 10 | +8.3 |
| 13 | Corey Heim | 20.9 | 13 | +7.9 |
| 16 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 16 | +4.9 |
| 17 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 17 | +4.4 |
| 19 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 19 | +5.7 |
| 24 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 24 | +4.8 |
| 30 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 30 | -6.6 |
| 32 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 32 | -7.2 |
| 37 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 37 | -18.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- John Hunter Nemechek: has 23 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- A.J. Allmendinger: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 17.0 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 17 starts, 12.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas?
John Hunter Nemechek won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 2, 2024.