NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan
Michigan International Speedway — August 17, 2024
Justin Allgaier
Winner
128
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Justin Allgaier won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway on August 17, 2024, leading 37 of 128 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 17, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +15 | Justin Allgaier |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Sheldon Creed |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 4 | 19 | +15 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Sammy Smith |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Noah Gragson |
| 7 | 31 | +24 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Taylor Gray |
| 9 | 25 | +16 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Parker Kligerman |
| 12 | 33 | +21 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Ryan Sieg |
| 14 | 37 | +23 | Ryan Ellis |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Jeb Burton |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Austin Hill |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Josh Williams |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Patrick Emerling |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | Blaine Perkins |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | Josh Bilicki |
| 25 | 35 | +10 | Logan Bearden |
| 26 | 8 | -18 | Carson Kvapil |
| 27 | 5 | -22 | Chandler Smith |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Kyle Sieg |
| 29 | 9 | -20 | Jesse Love |
| 30 | 4 | -26 | Cole Custer |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Joey Gase |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 33 | 36 | +3 | Brennan Poole |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Daniel Dye |
| 35 | 15 | -20 | Lawless Alan |
| 36 | 6 | -30 | Brandon Jones |
| 37 | 11 | -26 | Sam Mayer |
| 38 | 2 | -36 | Riley Herbst |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 1 | +17.3 |
| 3 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 3 | +16.1 |
| 4 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 6 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 6 | +15.4 |
| 10 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 10 | +8.3 |
| 17 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 18 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 24 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 24 | +4.6 |
| 29 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 29 | -7.6 |
| 30 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 30 | -7.1 |
| 31 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 31 | -7.6 |
| 33 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 33 | -8.3 |
| 34 | Daniel Dye | 19.1 | 34 | -14.9 |
| 38 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 38 | -16.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Allgaier: has 16 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 14.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan?
Justin Allgaier won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 17, 2024.