NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol
Bristol Motor Speedway — April 12, 2025
Kyle Larson
Winner
300
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 12, 2025, leading 277 of 300 laps. Carson Kvapil finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 12, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Carson Kvapil |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Sammy Smith |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Brandon Jones |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Jesse Love |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Corey Heim |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | Christian Eckes |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Dean Thompson |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Sam Mayer |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Connor Zilisch |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Daniel Dye |
| 14 | 26 | +12 | Josh Williams |
| 15 | 29 | +14 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Nick Sanchez |
| 17 | 27 | +10 | Justin Bonsignore |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Taylor Gray |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 21 | 12 | -9 | Jeb Burton |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Kyle Sieg |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 24 | 18 | -6 | Austin Hill |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Mason Massey |
| 26 | 10 | -16 | Harrison Burton |
| 27 | 32 | +5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Thomas Annunziata |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Garrett Smithley |
| 30 | 28 | -2 | Blaine Perkins |
| 31 | 31 | — | Kris Wright |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Greg Van Alst |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 34 | 15 | -19 | William Sawalich |
| 35 | 35 | — | Alex Labbe |
| 36 | 23 | -13 | Brennan Poole |
| 37 | 21 | -16 | Sheldon Creed |
| 38 | 38 | — | Mason Maggio |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 6 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 6 | +15.0 |
| 8 | Corey Heim | 20.1 | 8 | +12.1 |
| 12 | Connor Zilisch | 21.2 | 12 | +9.2 |
| 13 | Daniel Dye | 19.0 | 13 | +6.0 |
| 15 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 15 | +7.0 |
| 24 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 24 | -3.8 |
| 36 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 36 | -12.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 37 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (5 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Jesse Love: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P21. Track history: 5 starts, 15.6 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol?
Kyle Larson won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 12, 2025.