NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — April 5, 2025

Brandon Jones
Winner
147
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders

Brandon Jones won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on April 5, 2025, leading 24 of 147 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 5, 2025
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Brandon Jones
2 8 +6 Chase Elliott
3 3 Justin Allgaier
4 27 +23 Ross Chastain
5 6 +1 Carson Kvapil
6 16 +10 Connor Zilisch
7 9 +2 Christian Eckes
8 15 +7 Nick Sanchez
9 12 +3 Sammy Smith
10 10 Sheldon Creed
11 11 Jesse Love
12 17 +5 Ryan Sieg
13 14 +1 Harrison Burton
14 5 -9 Sam Mayer
15 22 +7 Jeb Burton
16 19 +3 Austin Hill
17 7 -10 Daniel Dye
18 30 +12 Dean Thompson
19 23 +4 Brennan Poole
20 26 +6 Parker Retzlaff
21 18 -3 Jeremy Clements
22 25 +3 Ryan Ellis
23 21 -2 Matt DiBenedetto
24 31 +7 Josh Bilicki
25 1 -24 Christopher Bell
26 37 +11 David Starr
27 36 +9 Nick Leitz
28 24 -4 Blaine Perkins
29 35 +6 Mason Massey
30 34 +4 Kyle Sieg
31 32 +1 Anthony Alfredo
32 28 -4 Garrett Smithley
33 4 -29 Taylor Gray
34 38 +4 Greg Van Alst
35 20 -15 William Sawalich
36 29 -7 Josh Williams
37 33 -4 Leland Honeyman Jr.
38 13 -25 Kris Wright
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Chase Elliott 7.8 2 +5.8
3 Justin Allgaier 18.3 3 +15.3
4 Ross Chastain 13.3 4 +9.3
6 Connor Zilisch 22.9 6 +16.9
11 Jesse Love 21.4 11 +10.4
16 Austin Hill 20.9 16 +4.9
17 Daniel Dye 19.1 17 +2.1
19 Brennan Poole 24.7 19 +5.7
24 Josh Bilicki 28.6 24 +4.6
25 Christopher Bell 10.7 25 -14.3
26 David Starr 20.9 26 -5.1
31 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 31 -10.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brandon Jones: has 15 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.
  • Connor Zilisch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P23. Track history: 2 starts, 12.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington?
Brandon Jones won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on April 5, 2025.