NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville
Nashville Superspeedway — May 31, 2025
Justin Allgaier
Winner
188
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Justin Allgaier won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville at Nashville Superspeedway on May 31, 2025, leading 101 of 188 laps. Connor Zilisch finished second; Sam Mayer rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 31, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Connor Zilisch |
| 3 | 3 | — | Sam Mayer |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Sheldon Creed |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Aric Almirola |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Austin Hill |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Jesse Love |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Carson Kvapil |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Sammy Smith |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Corey Day |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Harrison Burton |
| 13 | 13 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Nick Sanchez |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Jeb Burton |
| 16 | 31 | +15 | Brennan Poole |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Josh Williams |
| 18 | 18 | — | Jeremy Clements |
| 19 | 34 | +15 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | Thomas Annunziata |
| 21 | 11 | -10 | Ryan Sieg |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Myatt Snider |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | Logan Bearden |
| 24 | 38 | +14 | Mason Massey |
| 25 | 24 | -1 | Taylor Gray |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Kyle Sieg |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Nick Leitz |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Mason Maggio |
| 29 | 23 | -6 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 30 | 27 | -3 | Blaine Perkins |
| 31 | 35 | +4 | Kris Wright |
| 32 | 22 | -10 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Dean Thompson |
| 34 | 1 | -33 | William Sawalich |
| 35 | 12 | -23 | Christian Eckes |
| 36 | 25 | -11 | Ryan Ellis |
| 37 | 29 | -8 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 39 | 19 | -20 | Daniel Dye |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 1 | +17.3 |
| 2 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 5 | +8.3 |
| 7 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 7 | +13.9 |
| 8 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 8 | +13.4 |
| 16 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 16 | +8.7 |
| 29 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 29 | -8.1 |
| 39 | Daniel Dye | 19.1 | 39 | -19.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Allgaier: has 7 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 9.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P5 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville?
Justin Allgaier won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville at Nashville Superspeedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville was held at Nashville Superspeedway on May 31, 2025.