NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega
Talladega Superspeedway — October 18, 2025
Austin Hill
Winner
100
Laps
38
Entries
10
Leaders
Austin Hill won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway on October 18, 2025, leading 48 of 100 laps. Carson Kvapil finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 18, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Austin Hill |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Carson Kvapil |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Christian Eckes |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 6 | 14 | +8 | Blaine Perkins |
| 7 | 24 | +17 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 8 | 29 | +21 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Sammy Smith |
| 10 | 1 | -9 | Jesse Love |
| 11 | 28 | +17 | Nick Leitz |
| 12 | 33 | +21 | Garrett Smithley |
| 13 | 30 | +17 | Harrison Burton |
| 14 | 31 | +17 | Josh Williams |
| 15 | 35 | +20 | Kyle Sieg |
| 16 | 36 | +20 | Joey Gase |
| 17 | 6 | -11 | Jeb Burton |
| 18 | 32 | +14 | David Starr |
| 19 | 34 | +15 | Brennan Poole |
| 20 | 20 | — | Nick Sanchez |
| 21 | 37 | +16 | Carson Ware |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Mason Maggio |
| 23 | 7 | -16 | Connor Zilisch |
| 24 | 9 | -15 | Aric Almirola |
| 25 | 15 | -10 | Daniel Dye |
| 26 | 10 | -16 | Brandon Jones |
| 27 | 22 | -5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 28 | 18 | -10 | Connor Mosack |
| 29 | 17 | -12 | Dean Thompson |
| 30 | 2 | -28 | William Sawalich |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Taylor Gray |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Jordan Anderson |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 34 | 16 | -18 | Sheldon Creed |
| 35 | 23 | -12 | Ryan Sieg |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Brenden Queen |
| 37 | 21 | -16 | Jeremy Clements |
| 38 | 13 | -25 | Sam Mayer |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 1 | +23.0 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 10 | Jesse Love | 23.3 | 10 | +13.3 |
| 16 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 16 | +7.7 |
| 18 | David Starr | 21.1 | 18 | +3.1 |
| 19 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 19 | +6.2 |
| 23 | Connor Zilisch | 23.4 | 23 | +0.4 |
| 25 | Daniel Dye | 23.4 | 25 | -1.6 |
| 33 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 33 | -9.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Hill: has 15 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.0 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 19.5 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega?
Austin Hill won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 18, 2025.