NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 9, 2025

Connor Zilisch
Winner
82
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders

Connor Zilisch won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 9, 2025, leading 60 of 82 laps. Sam Mayer finished second; Sammy Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 9, 2025
Season
2025
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Connor Zilisch
2 4 +2 Sam Mayer
3 6 +3 Sammy Smith
4 10 +6 Austin Hill
5 14 +9 Carson Kvapil
6 9 +3 Justin Allgaier
7 18 +11 Austin Green
8 38 +30 Christian Eckes
9 13 +4 Brandon Jones
10 17 +7 Harrison Burton
11 8 -3 Kaz Grala
12 31 +19 Brennan Poole
13 19 +6 Dean Thompson
14 15 +1 Jesse Love
15 30 +15 Jeremy Clements
16 23 +7 Jeb Burton
17 21 +4 Daniel Dye
18 3 -15 Taylor Gray
19 26 +7 Stefan Parsons
20 36 +16 Austin J Hill
21 35 +14 Glen Reen
22 22 Parker Retzlaff
23 32 +9 Blaine Perkins
24 7 -17 Nick Sanchez
25 12 -13 Michael McDowell
26 5 -21 William Sawalich
27 27 Josh Bilicki
28 29 +1 Ryan Sieg
29 33 +4 Ryan Ellis
30 28 -2 Kyle Sieg
31 2 -29 Shane van Gisbergen
32 20 -12 Anthony Alfredo
33 24 -9 Matt DiBenedetto
34 34 Preston Pardus
35 11 -24 Sheldon Creed
36 16 -20 Riley Herbst
37 25 -12 Thomas Annunziata
38 37 -1 Garrett Smithley
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Connor Zilisch 21.4 1 +20.4
4 Austin Hill 21.4 4 +17.4
6 Justin Allgaier 16.8 6 +10.8
12 Brennan Poole 21.4 12 +9.4
14 Jesse Love 21.4 14 +7.4
17 Daniel Dye 20.8 17 +3.8
25 Michael McDowell 13.0 25 -12.0
27 Josh Bilicki 29.0 27 +2.0
31 Shane van Gisbergen 12.7 31 -18.3
32 Anthony Alfredo 21.4 32 -10.6
36 Riley Herbst 25.7 36 -10.3

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Connor Zilisch: has 6 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 5.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Shane van Gisbergen: was the model’s top pick based on 7 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 7.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P31 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen?
Connor Zilisch won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on August 9, 2025.