America 250 Florida Duel 1
Daytona International Speedway, February 12, 2026
Joey Logano
Winner
63
Laps
9
Lead Changes
6
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 1 at Daytona International Speedway on February 12, 2026, leading 15 of 63 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race had 9 lead changes among 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, February 12, 2026
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
9
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Austin Dillon |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 7 | 20 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Casey Mears |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Ryan Preece |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | Alex Bowman |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Cole Custer |
| 12 | 23 | +11 | Noah Gragson |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 3 | -11 | Corey Heim |
| 15 | 15 | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Chandler Smith |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Cody Ware |
| 18 | 1 | -17 | Kyle Busch |
| 19 | 8 | -11 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Ross Chastain |
| 22 | 12 | -10 | William Byron |
| 23 | 5 | -18 | Chris Buescher |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 21 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 1 | +17.5 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 2 | +8.4 |
| 3 | Austin Dillon | 21.1 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 18.5 | 4 | +14.5 |
| 5 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 5 | +15.5 |
| 6 | Shane van Gisbergen | 23.4 | 6 | +17.4 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 7 | +8.1 |
| 8 | Casey Mears | 20.0 | 8 | +12.0 |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 9 | +12.1 |
| 10 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 10 | +7.4 |
| 11 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 11 | +11.9 |
| 12 | Noah Gragson | 25.2 | 12 | +13.2 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 13 | +3.9 |
| 14 | Corey Heim | 22.9 | 14 | +8.9 |
| 15 | Jimmie Johnson | 20.0 | 15 | +5.0 |
| 17 | Cody Ware | 25.5 | 17 | +8.5 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 19 | +4.3 |
| 20 | A.J. Allmendinger | 22.9 | 20 | +2.9 |
| 21 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 21 | -5.0 |
| 22 | William Byron | 13.9 | 22 | -8.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 46 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.4 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 39 starts, 16.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 1?
Joey Logano won the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 1 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 1 held?
The 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 1 was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 12, 2026.