Freeway Insurance 500
Phoenix Raceway, October 18, 2026
Tyler Reddick
Winner
312
Laps
21
Lead Changes
10
Leaders
Tyler Reddick won the 2026 Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix Raceway on October 18, 2026. Ryan Blaney finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race had 21 lead changes among 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 18, 2026
Track
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
21
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Tyler Reddick |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Chase Elliott |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 36 | +31 | Corey Heim |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Chase Briscoe |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Ty Gibbs |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Josh Berry |
| 12 | 28 | +16 | Carson Hocevar |
| 13 | 30 | +17 | Noah Gragson |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Todd Gilliland |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Zane Smith |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 18 | 26 | +8 | Ryan Preece |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Austin Cindric |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | Connor Zilisch |
| 21 | 10 | -11 | William Byron |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Chris Buescher |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | Austin Hill |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Erik Jones |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 27 | 27 | — | Cole Custer |
| 28 | 4 | -24 | Denny Hamlin |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 32 | 19 | -13 | Riley Herbst |
| 33 | 32 | -1 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 34 | 22 | -12 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Cody Ware |
| 36 | 8 | -28 | Michael McDowell |
| 37 | 24 | -13 | Austin Dillon |
* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 37 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick | 10.8 | 1 | +9.8 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 8.3 | 4 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Corey Heim | 18.0 | 5 | +13.0 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 8.6 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 15.0 | 7 | +8.0 |
| 8 | Chase Briscoe | 10.3 | 8 | +2.3 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 14.0 | 9 | +5.0 |
| 10 | Ty Gibbs | 9.9 | 10 | -0.1 |
| 11 | Josh Berry | 15.6 | 11 | +4.6 |
| 12 | Carson Hocevar | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Noah Gragson | 21.2 | 13 | +8.2 |
| 14 | Todd Gilliland | 18.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| 15 | Zane Smith | 21.2 | 15 | +6.2 |
| 16 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 17 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 17 | -4.4 |
| 18 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 18 | -7.2 |
| 19 | Austin Cindric | 12.6 | 19 | -6.4 |
| 20 | Connor Zilisch | 26.7 | 20 | +6.7 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick: has 17 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 9.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Corey Heim: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 6 starts, 9.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 Freeway Insurance 500?
Tyler Reddick won the 2026 Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix Raceway driving for 23XI Racing.
Where was the 2026 Freeway Insurance 500 held?
The 2026 Freeway Insurance 500 was held at Phoenix Raceway on October 18, 2026.