Bashas' Supermarkets 200
Phoenix Raceway — January 1, 2007
Clint Bowyer
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders
Clint Bowyer won the 2007 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2007, leading 120 of 200 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Jeff Burton rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, January 1, 2007
Track
Season
2007
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Matt Kenseth |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Jeff Burton |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Carl Edwards |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Greg Biffle |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Casey Mears |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Regan Smith |
| 9 | 35 | +26 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Dave Blaney |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | David Stremme |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | David Reutimann |
| 13 | 29 | +16 | Timothy Peters |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 15 | 31 | +16 | Mike Bliss |
| 16 | 16 | — | David Gilliland |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Jamie McMurray |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | Jason Leffler |
| 19 | 37 | +18 | Mike Wallace |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Ward Burton |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 22 | 10 | -12 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 23 | 38 | +15 | Kyle Krisiloff |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 25 | 34 | +9 | Jon Wood |
| 26 | 40 | +14 | Brent Sherman |
| 27 | 26 | -1 | D.J. Kennington |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Stephen Leicht |
| 29 | 25 | -4 | Steve Wallace |
| 30 | 41 | +11 | Eric McClure |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Tony Raines |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 33 | 13 | -20 | Todd Kluever |
| 34 | 19 | -15 | Bobby Hamilton Jr. |
| 35 | 24 | -11 | David Ragan |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Ryan Newman |
| 37 | 1 | -36 | Kyle Busch |
| 38 | 22 | -16 | Johnny Sauter |
| 39 | 42 | +3 | Kevin Lepage |
| 40 | 39 | -1 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 41 | 43 | +2 | Mike Harmon |
| 42 | 27 | -15 | Shane Huffman |
| 43 | 28 | -15 | Aric Almirola |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 7 | +11.0 |
| 24 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 24 | +4.1 |
| 32 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 32 | -20.0 |
| 37 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 37 | -21.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Clint Bowyer: has 19 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 8.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 29 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 11.5 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
- Casey Mears: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P18. Track history: 6 starts, 17.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2007 Bashas' Supermarkets 200?
Clint Bowyer won the 2007 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2007 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 held?
The 2007 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 was held at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2007.