Carquest Auto Parts 300

Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2007

Kasey Kahne
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders

Kasey Kahne won the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007, leading 43 of 200 laps. Casey Mears finished second; Clint Bowyer rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Monday, January 1, 2007
Season
2007
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 32 +31 Kasey Kahne
2 22 +20 Casey Mears
3 9 +6 Clint Bowyer
4 4 Jeff Burton
5 6 +1 Regan Smith
6 8 +2 Jimmie Johnson
7 1 -6 Matt Kenseth
8 16 +8 Kyle Busch
9 2 -7 Scott Wimmer
10 12 +2 Stephen Leicht
11 27 +16 Dave Blaney
12 25 +13 Kevin Harvick
13 35 +22 Jon Wood
14 38 +24 Aric Almirola
15 13 -2 Todd Kluever
16 20 +4 David Stremme
17 10 -7 Carl Edwards
18 15 -3 Jamie McMurray
19 40 +21 Ward Burton
20 17 -3 Marcos Ambrose
21 3 -18 Greg Biffle
22 33 +11 Bobby Labonte
23 26 +3 Mike Wallace
24 23 -1 Shane Huffman
25 7 -18 David Ragan
26 29 +3 J.J. Yeley
27 14 -13 David Gilliland
28 43 +15 David Green
29 19 -10 Stanton Barrett
30 31 +1 Steve Wallace
31 28 -3 Jason Leffler
32 18 -14 Robby Gordon
33 39 +6 Bobby Hamilton Jr.
34 11 -23 Denny Hamlin
35 42 +7 Brent Sherman
36 41 +5 Johnny Sauter
37 34 -3 Brad Keselowski
38 36 -2 Kyle Krisiloff
39 21 -18 Mike Bliss
40 37 -3 Juan Pablo Montoya
41 5 -36 Kurt Busch
42 30 -12 Reed Sorenson
43 24 -19 David Reutimann
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 15.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Casey Mears 16.9 2 +14.9
6 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 6 +13.9
8 Kyle Busch 17.0 8 +9.0
26 J.J. Yeley 28.8 26 +2.8
34 Denny Hamlin 8.2 34 -25.8
37 Brad Keselowski 11.2 37 -25.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kasey Kahne: has 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P34 on the day.
  • Casey Mears: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 24 starts, 22.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300?
Kasey Kahne won the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Evernham Motorsports.
Where was the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 held?
The 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007.