Carquest Auto Parts 300
Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2007
Kasey Kahne
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders
Kasey Kahne won the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007, leading 43 of 200 laps. Casey Mears finished second; Clint Bowyer rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, January 1, 2007
Track
Season
2007
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | +31 | Kasey Kahne |
| 2 | 22 | +20 | Casey Mears |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Clint Bowyer |
| 4 | 4 | — | Jeff Burton |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Regan Smith |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Matt Kenseth |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Scott Wimmer |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Stephen Leicht |
| 11 | 27 | +16 | Dave Blaney |
| 12 | 25 | +13 | Kevin Harvick |
| 13 | 35 | +22 | Jon Wood |
| 14 | 38 | +24 | Aric Almirola |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Todd Kluever |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | David Stremme |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Carl Edwards |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Jamie McMurray |
| 19 | 40 | +21 | Ward Burton |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 21 | 3 | -18 | Greg Biffle |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | Bobby Labonte |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Mike Wallace |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | Shane Huffman |
| 25 | 7 | -18 | David Ragan |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 27 | 14 | -13 | David Gilliland |
| 28 | 43 | +15 | David Green |
| 29 | 19 | -10 | Stanton Barrett |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Steve Wallace |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Jason Leffler |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Robby Gordon |
| 33 | 39 | +6 | Bobby Hamilton Jr. |
| 34 | 11 | -23 | Denny Hamlin |
| 35 | 42 | +7 | Brent Sherman |
| 36 | 41 | +5 | Johnny Sauter |
| 37 | 34 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 38 | 36 | -2 | Kyle Krisiloff |
| 39 | 21 | -18 | Mike Bliss |
| 40 | 37 | -3 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 41 | 5 | -36 | Kurt Busch |
| 42 | 30 | -12 | Reed Sorenson |
| 43 | 24 | -19 | David Reutimann |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 15.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 2 | +14.9 |
| 6 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 8 | +9.0 |
| 26 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 26 | +2.8 |
| 34 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 34 | -25.8 |
| 37 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 37 | -25.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kasey Kahne: has 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P34 on the day.
- Casey Mears: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 24 starts, 22.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300?
Kasey Kahne won the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Evernham Motorsports.
Where was the 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 held?
The 2007 Carquest Auto Parts 300 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007.