NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa
Iowa Speedway — May 20, 2012
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
250
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway on May 20, 2012, leading 209 of 250 laps. Elliott Sadler finished second; Michael McDowell rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 20, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Michael McDowell |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Austin Dillon |
| 5 | 31 | +26 | Kurt Busch |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Cole Whitt |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Parker Kligerman |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Brian Scott |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Brad Sweet |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Michael Annett |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Mike Bliss |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Steve Arpin |
| 17 | 24 | +7 | Jason Bowles |
| 18 | 33 | +15 | Erik Darnell |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Joe Nemechek |
| 20 | 14 | -6 | Casey Roderick |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Mike Wallace |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Johanna Long |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Jamie Dick |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Timmy Hill |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Travis Pastrana |
| 27 | 27 | — | T.J. Bell |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Daryl Harr |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Tayler Malsam |
| 30 | 9 | -21 | Danica Patrick |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 32 | 22 | -10 | Jeff Green |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Joey Gase |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | Josh Richards |
| 35 | 42 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 36 | 41 | +5 | John Jackson |
| 37 | 37 | — | Tim Andrews |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | Matt Frahm |
| 39 | 43 | +4 | Michael Guerity |
| 40 | 38 | -2 | Blake Koch |
| 41 | 30 | -11 | Kevin Lepage |
| 42 | 39 | -3 | Tim Schendel |
| 43 | 35 | -8 | Chase Miller |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 1 | +18.9 |
| 3 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 6 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 6 | +12.3 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 25 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 25 | -1.1 |
| 33 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 33 | -9.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 5 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Bubba Wallace: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 12.0 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa was held at Iowa Speedway on May 20, 2012.