NASCAR Nationwide Series at the Brickyard
Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 28, 2012
Brad Keselowski
Winner
100
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at the Brickyard at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 28, 2012, leading 33 of 100 laps. Sam Hornish Jr. finished second; Ty Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 28, 2012
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 3 | 3 | — | Ty Dillon |
| 4 | 4 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Austin Dillon |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | Michael Annett |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Paul Menard |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Mike Bliss |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Travis Pastrana |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Brian Scott |
| 15 | 5 | -10 | Elliott Sadler |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Jason Bowles |
| 17 | 40 | +23 | Cole Whitt |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Joe Nemechek |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Kenny Wallace |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Mike Wallace |
| 21 | 39 | +18 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 22 | 2 | -20 | Kyle Busch |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | Timmy Hill |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | Eric McClure |
| 25 | 1 | -24 | Kasey Kahne |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | James Buescher |
| 27 | 11 | -16 | Ryan Blaney |
| 28 | 41 | +13 | Tim Schendel |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Tayler Malsam |
| 30 | 17 | -13 | Johanna Long |
| 31 | 42 | +11 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 32 | 29 | -3 | Kyle Fowler |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Reed Sorenson |
| 34 | 18 | -16 | Kurt Busch |
| 35 | 20 | -15 | Danica Patrick |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Jeff Green |
| 37 | 38 | +1 | Scott Riggs |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Erik Darnell |
| 39 | 43 | +4 | T.J. Bell |
| 40 | 36 | -4 | Kevin Lepage |
| 41 | 30 | -11 | Chase Miller |
| 42 | 31 | -11 | Josh Wise |
| 43 | 32 | -11 | Stephen Leicht |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 3 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 3 | +20.4 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 5 | +12.1 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 9 | +10.9 |
| 12 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 22 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 22 | -5.0 |
| 23 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 23 | +0.9 |
| 27 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 27 | -17.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 14 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 12 starts, 14.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at the Brickyard?
Brad Keselowski won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at the Brickyard at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at the Brickyard held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at the Brickyard was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 28, 2012.