NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 14, 2012
Brad Keselowski
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
5
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 14, 2012, leading 131 of 200 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 14, 2012
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Austin Dillon |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Kasey Kahne |
| 7 | 7 | — | Elliott Sadler |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 9 | — | Jamie McMurray |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Ryan Truex |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Michael Annett |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Brian Scott |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Mike Bliss |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Danica Patrick |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Mike Wallace |
| 16 | 16 | — | Jason Bowles |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | Cole Whitt |
| 19 | 19 | — | Joe Nemechek |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Tayler Malsam |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Timmy Hill |
| 22 | 37 | +15 | Eric McClure |
| 23 | 33 | +10 | Tony Raines |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Josh Richards |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Matt Frahm |
| 26 | 42 | +16 | Amber Cope |
| 27 | 40 | +13 | Joey Gase |
| 28 | 5 | -23 | Kyle Busch |
| 29 | 36 | +7 | Danny Efland |
| 30 | 17 | -13 | Jamie Dick |
| 31 | 20 | -11 | Travis Pastrana |
| 32 | 34 | +2 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 33 | 30 | -3 | Kevin Lepage |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | Scott Riggs |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | T.J. Bell |
| 36 | 43 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | Matt Carter |
| 38 | 35 | -3 | Chase Miller |
| 39 | 41 | +2 | Charles Lewandoski |
| 40 | 26 | -14 | Erik Darnell |
| 41 | 24 | -17 | Josh Wise |
| 42 | 31 | -11 | Stephen Leicht |
| 43 | 23 | -20 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 3 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 5 | +15.1 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| 10 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 10 | +5.6 |
| 21 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 21 | +3.3 |
| 27 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 27 | -5.0 |
| 28 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 28 | -12.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 34 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P20. Track history: 21 starts, 20.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire?
Brad Keselowski won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 14, 2012.