NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan
Michigan International Speedway — June 15, 2013
Regan Smith
Winner
125
Laps
39
Entries
5
Leaders
Regan Smith won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway on June 15, 2013, leading 14 of 125 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Paul Menard rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 15, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | +19 | Regan Smith |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Paul Menard |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 6 | 6 | — | Brad Sweet |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Chris Buescher |
| 8 | 19 | +11 | Elliott Sadler |
| 9 | 21 | +12 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Brian Scott |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Jeremy Clements |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Cole Whitt |
| 16 | 31 | +15 | Mike Wallace |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | Travis Pastrana |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Johanna Long |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Michael Annett |
| 20 | 1 | -19 | Austin Dillon |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Mike Bliss |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Blake Koch |
| 23 | 34 | +11 | Scott Riggs |
| 24 | 24 | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 25 | 16 | -9 | Parker Kligerman |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Landon Cassill |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Joey Gase |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Eric McClure |
| 29 | 27 | -2 | Joe Nemechek |
| 30 | 38 | +8 | Juan Carlos Blum |
| 31 | 18 | -13 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 32 | 13 | -19 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 33 | 9 | -24 | Brian Vickers |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Ken Butler |
| 35 | 39 | +4 | Carl Long |
| 36 | 26 | -10 | Jeff Green |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Josh Wise |
| 38 | 32 | -6 | J.J. Yeley |
| 39 | 33 | -6 | Dexter Stacey |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 7 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 7 | +2.2 |
| 11 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 11 | +3.7 |
| 12 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 14 | -0.5 |
| 20 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 20 | -2.9 |
| 27 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 27 | -3.6 |
| 38 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 38 | -9.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Regan Smith: has 16 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 22.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chris Buescher: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 14.1 avg finish (1 win), finishing P7 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P17. Track history: 55 starts, 12.2 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan?
Regan Smith won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 15, 2013.