NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — July 5, 2013
Matt Kenseth
Winner
101
Laps
40
Entries
14
Leaders
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on July 5, 2013, leading 16 of 101 laps. James Buescher finished second; Elliott Sadler rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, July 5, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Matt Kenseth |
| 2 | 17 | +15 | James Buescher |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Elliott Sadler |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Kyle Larson |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Regan Smith |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Trevor Bayne |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Justin Allgaier |
| 13 | 18 | +5 | Brian Vickers |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Mike Bliss |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Michael Annett |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Cole Whitt |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | Brian Scott |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Parker Kligerman |
| 19 | 30 | +11 | Joe Nemechek |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | Alex Bowman |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 39 | +16 | Landon Cassill |
| 24 | 24 | — | Eric McClure |
| 25 | 25 | — | Jamie Dick |
| 26 | 26 | — | Kevin Swindell |
| 27 | 3 | -24 | Ty Dillon |
| 28 | 10 | -18 | Brad Sweet |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 30 | 38 | +8 | Jeff Green |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | Mike Harmon |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 34 | 2 | -32 | Travis Pastrana |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | Jason A. White |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Joey Gase |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Mike Wallace |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | Dexter Stacey |
| 39 | 37 | -2 | Reed Sorenson |
| 40 | 31 | -9 | Morgan Shepherd |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 5 | +18.4 |
| 6 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 6 | +12.5 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 9 | +11.5 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 11 | +4.1 |
| 12 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 12 | +9.1 |
| 20 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 20 | -4.9 |
| 27 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 27 | -5.9 |
| 36 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 36 | -12.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Matt Kenseth: has 50 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Kyle Busch: was the model’s top pick based on 69 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P11 on the day.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 36 starts, 14.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona?
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on July 5, 2013.