NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami
Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 16, 2013
Brad Keselowski
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 16, 2013, leading 25 of 200 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, November 16, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Matt Kenseth |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Trevor Bayne |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Parker Kligerman |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Cole Whitt |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 11 | 2 | -9 | Blake Koch |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Ryan Reed |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Drew Herring |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Elliott Sadler |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Michael Annett |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Travis Pastrana |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 20 | 29 | +9 | Jeff Green |
| 21 | 31 | +10 | Johanna Long |
| 22 | 39 | +17 | Bryan Silas |
| 23 | 35 | +12 | Timmy Hill |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Jamie Dick |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Joe Nemechek |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Dexter Stacey |
| 28 | 28 | — | Mike Wallace |
| 29 | 25 | -4 | Regan Smith |
| 30 | 32 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 31 | 7 | -24 | Brad Sweet |
| 32 | 10 | -22 | Brian Scott |
| 33 | 21 | -12 | Landon Cassill |
| 34 | 20 | -14 | Corey LaJoie |
| 35 | 24 | -11 | Kevin Swindell |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Ryan Ellis |
| 37 | 27 | -10 | Mike Bliss |
| 38 | 37 | -1 | T.J. Bell |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Josh Wise |
| 40 | 26 | -14 | Michael McDowell |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 6 | +8.7 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 19 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 19 | -0.7 |
| 23 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 23 | +0.9 |
| 34 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 34 | -11.8 |
| 40 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 40 | -23.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 26 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 15.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 38 starts, 12.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami?
Brad Keselowski won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 16, 2013.