NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway, July 4, 2014
Kasey Kahne
Winner
103
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders
Kasey Kahne won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on July 4, 2014, leading 1 of 103 laps. Regan Smith finished second; Ryan Sieg rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, July 4, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Kasey Kahne |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Regan Smith |
| 3 | 21 | +18 | Ryan Sieg |
| 4 | 4 | — | Ryan Reed |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Kyle Larson |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Bubba Wallace |
| 8 | 36 | +28 | Jeremy Clements |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Trevor Bayne |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Mike Wallace |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Ty Dillon |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Chris Buescher |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Derrike Cope |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | James Buescher |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Johnny Sauter |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Brian Scott |
| 17 | 5 | -12 | Kyle Busch |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | John Wes Townley |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 20 | 7 | -13 | Chase Elliott |
| 21 | 6 | -15 | Elliott Sadler |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Eric McClure |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | David Ragan |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | David Starr |
| 26 | 12 | -14 | Chad Boat |
| 27 | 40 | +13 | Joe Nemechek |
| 28 | 14 | -14 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 30 | 25 | -5 | Landon Cassill |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 32 | 35 | +3 | Josh Wise |
| 33 | 39 | +6 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 34 | 34 | — | Carlos Contreras |
| 35 | 19 | -16 | J.J. Yeley |
| 36 | 24 | -12 | Tanner Berryhill |
| 37 | 38 | +1 | Joey Gase |
| 38 | 29 | -9 | Mike Bliss |
| 39 | 22 | -17 | Mike Harmon |
| 40 | 37 | -3 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 5 | +15.1 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 6 | +12.5 |
| 7 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 7 | +9.9 |
| 11 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 11 | +11.9 |
| 12 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 12 | +1.6 |
| 20 | Chase Elliott | 13.6 | 20 | -6.4 |
| 25 | David Starr | 21.1 | 25 | -3.9 |
| 29 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 29 | -13.0 |
| 35 | J.J. Yeley | 25.5 | 35 | -9.5 |
| 37 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 37 | -13.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kasey Kahne: has 50 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 18.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chris Buescher: was the model’s top pick based on 25 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P12 on the day.
- Kyle Larson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P20. Track history: 33 starts, 18.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona?
Kasey Kahne won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on July 4, 2014.