NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte
Charlotte Motor Speedway — October 10, 2014
Brad Keselowski
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 10, 2014, leading 22 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Matt Kenseth rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, October 10, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Matt Kenseth |
| 4 | 19 | +15 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Chris Buescher |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Elliott Sadler |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Brian Scott |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Regan Smith |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Alex Bowman |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | Ryan Reed |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Landon Cassill |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Mike Bliss |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | David Starr |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | Kevin Swindell |
| 24 | 17 | -7 | Corey LaJoie |
| 25 | 40 | +15 | Derrike Cope |
| 26 | 38 | +12 | Joey Gase |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Jamie Dick |
| 28 | 26 | -2 | Chad Boat |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Carlos Contreras |
| 30 | 11 | -19 | Ty Dillon |
| 31 | 18 | -13 | James Buescher |
| 32 | 32 | — | Eric McClure |
| 33 | 12 | -21 | Cale Conley |
| 34 | 39 | +5 | Timmy Hill |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Jeff Green |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Tanner Berryhill |
| 38 | 28 | -10 | Will Kimmel |
| 39 | 27 | -12 | J.J. Yeley |
| 40 | 29 | -11 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 5 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| 6 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 12 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| 20 | David Starr | 20.9 | 20 | +0.9 |
| 21 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 21 | -7.7 |
| 24 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 24 | -1.8 |
| 26 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 26 | -2.6 |
| 30 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 30 | -6.6 |
| 34 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 34 | -10.1 |
| 39 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 39 | -10.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 45 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 10, 2014.