NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 9, 2014

Marcos Ambrose

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Marcos Ambrose won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 9, 2014, leading 48 of 82 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, August 9, 2014

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2014

Winner

Marcos Ambrose

Leaders

11 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	4	+3	Marcos Ambrose		82	—	Running	48	0
2	3	+1	Kyle Busch		82	—	Running	1	0
3	2	-1	Joey Logano		82	—	Running	6	0
4	1	-3	Brad Keselowski		82	—	Running	13	0
5	10	+5	Matt Kenseth		82	—	Running	2	0
6	15	+9	Chase Elliott		82	—	Running	—	38
7	14	+7	Elliott Sadler		82	—	Running	—	37
8	8	—	Ty Dillon		82	—	Running	1	37
9	6	-3	Paul Menard		82	—	Running	—	0
10	7	-3	Brian Scott		82	—	Running	—	34
11	17	+6	James Buescher		82	—	Running	2	34
12	28	+16	Ryan Reed		82	—	Running	—	32
13	16	+3	Trevor Bayne		82	—	Running	—	31
14	19	+5	Mike Bliss		82	—	Running	1	31
15	13	-2	Kyle Larson		82	—	Running	—	0
16	26	+10	Jeremy Clements		82	—	Running	1	29
17	5	-12	Regan Smith		82	—	Running	2	28
18	18	—	Stanton Barrett		82	—	Running	—	26
19	25	+6	Brennan Newberry		82	—	Running	—	0
20	31	+11	Tomy Drissi	Dodge	82	—	Running	—	0
21	30	+9	Jeffrey Earnhardt		81	—	Running	—	23
22	36	+14	Derrike Cope		81	—	Running	—	22
23	20	-3	Carlos Contreras		81	—	Running	—	21
24	29	+5	Eric McClure		81	—	Running	—	20
25	21	-4	Dakoda Armstrong		81	—	Running	—	19
26	27	+1	Kenny Habul		81	—	Running	—	18
27	11	-16	Dylan Kwasniewski		81	—	Running	—	17
28	9	-19	Brendan Gaughan		80	—	Running	5	17
29	12	-17	Chris Buescher		79	—	Running	—	15
30	38	+8	Roger Reuse	Dodge	79	—	Running	—	14
31	33	+2	Tanner Berryhill		74	—	Running	—	13
32	22	-10	Matt DiBenedetto		73	—	Running	—	12
33	23	-10	Landon Cassill		43	—	DNF	—	11
34	32	-2	Ryan Sieg		38	—	DNF	—	10
35	24	-11	J.J. Yeley		33	—	DNF	—	9
36	37	+1	Joey Gase		30	—	DNF	—	8
37	34	-3	Kevin O'Connell		25	—	DNF	—	7
38	39	+1	Blake Koch		6	—	DNF	—	6
39	35	-4	Josh Wise		3	—	DNF	—	0

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Kyle Busch	13.0	2	+11.0	Coinflip
3	Joey Logano	12.7	3	+9.7	Moderate
4	Brad Keselowski	16.7	4	+12.7	High Confidence
6	Chase Elliott	7.2	6	+1.2	High Confidence
8	Ty Dillon	21.4	8	+13.4	High Confidence
15	Kyle Larson	12.9	15	-2.1	Moderate
29	Chris Buescher	10.2	29	-18.8	High Confidence
35	J.J. Yeley	21.9	35	-13.1	High Confidence
36	Joey Gase	20.8	36	-15.2	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Marcos Ambrose: has 11 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 5.4 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P21. Track history: 10 starts, 18.6 avg finish.

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Track

Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen?

Marcos Ambrose won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International.

Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen held?

The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on August 9, 2014.