NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN
Michigan International Speedway — June 13, 2015
Kyle Busch
Winner
125
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway on June 13, 2015, leading 27 of 125 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 13, 2015
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 12 | +10 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 20 | +16 | Chris Buescher |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Aric Almirola |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Brian Scott |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Regan Smith |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Ty Dillon |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 3 | -12 | Bubba Wallace |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 17 | 17 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 18 | 5 | -13 | Paul Menard |
| 19 | 19 | — | Ryan Reed |
| 20 | 10 | -10 | Daniel Suarez |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 22 | 22 | — | Harrison Rhodes |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Eric McClure |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Peyton Sellers |
| 25 | 24 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Cale Conley |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Joey Gase |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Martin Roy |
| 29 | 36 | +7 | Josh Reaume |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Jimmy Weller III |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 32 | 40 | +8 | Mike Harmon |
| 33 | 21 | -12 | David Starr |
| 34 | 26 | -8 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 35 | 28 | -7 | Landon Cassill |
| 36 | 25 | -11 | Blake Koch |
| 37 | 38 | +1 | Derrike Cope |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | Carl Long |
| 39 | 31 | -8 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 30 | -10 | C.J. Faison |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 10 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 13 | +10.4 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 14 | -0.5 |
| 15 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 15 | -2.3 |
| 20 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 20 | -6.0 |
| 21 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 21 | -7.7 |
| 25 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 25 | +3.8 |
| 27 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 27 | -3.6 |
| 33 | David Starr | 20.9 | 33 | -12.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 55 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 12.2 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN?
Kyle Busch won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN held?
The 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 13, 2015.