NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 23, 2015
Austin Dillon
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Austin Dillon won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 23, 2015, leading 163 of 200 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Kasey Kahne rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 23, 2015
Track
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Kasey Kahne |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Regan Smith |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Bubba Wallace |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Elliott Sadler |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Chris Buescher |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Ryan Reed |
| 13 | 24 | +11 | Jeremy Clements |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Erik Jones |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Landon Cassill |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 19 | 6 | -13 | Aric Almirola |
| 20 | 3 | -17 | Brian Scott |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | J.J. Yeley |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | David Starr |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | Blake Koch |
| 24 | 22 | -2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Chad Boat |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Jimmy Weller III |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | Kyle Fowler |
| 28 | 38 | +10 | Peyton Sellers |
| 29 | 23 | -6 | John Wes Townley |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Eric McClure |
| 31 | 20 | -11 | Ross Chastain |
| 32 | 39 | +7 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 5 | -28 | Kyle Larson |
| 34 | 26 | -8 | Cale Conley |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | Carl Long |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | B.J. McLeod |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Jamie Dick |
| 39 | 29 | -10 | Timmy Hill |
| 40 | 40 | — | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 1 | +16.1 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 5 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 6 | +8.0 |
| 7 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 7 | +16.4 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 11 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 15 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 15 | +1.7 |
| 21 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 21 | +7.8 |
| 22 | David Starr | 20.9 | 22 | -1.1 |
| 31 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 31 | -17.7 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 32 | -8.6 |
| 33 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 33 | -20.3 |
| 37 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 37 | -12.2 |
| 39 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 39 | -15.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Dillon: has 29 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P23. Track history: 16 starts, 14.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Austin Dillon won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 23, 2015.