NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS
Kansas Speedway — October 17, 2015
Kyle Busch
Winner
204
Laps
40
Entries
2
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway on October 17, 2015, leading 56 of 204 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 2 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 17, 2015
Track
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
2 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Matt Kenseth |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Ty Dillon |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Regan Smith |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Chris Buescher |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Bubba Wallace |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Elliott Sadler |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Brennan Poole |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Ross Chastain |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Kevin Harvick |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Austin Dillon |
| 17 | 17 | — | Ryan Reed |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Landon Cassill |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 21 | 19 | -2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 22 | 22 | — | David Starr |
| 23 | 11 | -12 | Brian Scott |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Mason Mingus |
| 25 | 25 | — | Blake Koch |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Eric McClure |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Joey Gase |
| 29 | 40 | +11 | Jennifer Cobb |
| 30 | 24 | -6 | Cale Conley |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | Korbin Forrister |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Michael Self |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | B.J. McLeod |
| 34 | 39 | +5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 35 | 35 | — | Morgan Shepherd |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | T.J. Bell |
| 37 | 38 | +1 | Timmy Hill |
| 38 | 37 | -1 | Mike Harmon |
| 39 | 32 | -7 | Derrike Cope |
| 40 | 27 | -13 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 4 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 4 | +19.4 |
| 6 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 9 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 9 | +5.0 |
| 11 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 11 | +1.7 |
| 13 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 13 | +11.7 |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 14 | -0.7 |
| 16 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 21 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 21 | +7.8 |
| 22 | David Starr | 20.9 | 22 | -1.1 |
| 28 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 28 | -4.6 |
| 33 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 33 | -8.2 |
| 37 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 37 | -13.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 54 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P23. Track history: 19 starts, 18.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS?
Kyle Busch won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS held?
The 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS was held at Kansas Speedway on October 17, 2015.