NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 28, 2016
Denny Hamlin
Winner
206
Laps
40
Entries
10
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 28, 2016, leading 76 of 206 laps. Austin Dillon finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 28, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Austin Dillon |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Cole Custer |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Brandon Jones |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Brennan Poole |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 11 | 27 | +16 | Jeb Burton |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Daniel Suarez |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Ryan Sieg |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Blake Koch |
| 15 | 31 | +16 | Garrett Smithley |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Ryan Blaney |
| 17 | 16 | -1 | Ross Chastain |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Drew Herring |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Ryan Reed |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Ryan Preece |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 24 | 40 | +16 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | B.J. McLeod |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Martin Roy |
| 27 | 9 | -18 | Bubba Wallace |
| 28 | 6 | -22 | Elliott Sadler |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Carl Long |
| 31 | 1 | -30 | Erik Jones |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Derrike Cope |
| 33 | 36 | +3 | Timmy Hill |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | Jeff Green |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Mike Harmon |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Joey Gase |
| 37 | 32 | -5 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | Cody Ware |
| 39 | 28 | -11 | Josh Wise |
| 40 | 24 | -16 | Matt DiBenedetto |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 2 | +15.1 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 4 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 4 | +18.9 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 5 | +13.3 |
| 6 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 8 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 8 | +15.4 |
| 9 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 9 | +15.7 |
| 12 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 16 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 16 | -6.8 |
| 17 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 17 | -3.7 |
| 22 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 22 | -11.9 |
| 23 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 23 | +5.8 |
| 25 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 25 | -0.2 |
| 27 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 27 | -14.3 |
| 31 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 31 | -14.3 |
| 33 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 33 | -9.1 |
| 36 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 36 | -12.6 |
| 38 | Cody Ware | 56.1 | 38 | +18.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 15.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Denny Hamlin won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 28, 2016.