NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN

Watkins Glen International — August 6, 2016

Joey Logano

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN at Watkins Glen International on August 6, 2016, leading 67 of 82 laps. Paul Menard finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, August 6, 2016

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2016

Winner

Joey Logano

Leaders

5 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	1	—	Joey Logano		82	—	Running	67	0
2	3	+1	Paul Menard		82	—	Running	—	0
3	4	+1	Kyle Larson		82	—	Running	2	0
4	6	+2	Daniel Suarez		82	—	Running	6	38
5	7	+2	Trevor Bayne		82	—	Running	—	0
6	10	+4	Elliott Sadler		82	—	Running	—	35
7	9	+2	Justin Allgaier		82	—	Running	—	34
8	12	+4	Brendan Gaughan		82	—	Running	—	33
9	19	+10	Ryan Reed		82	—	Running	—	32
10	16	+6	Brennan Poole		82	—	Running	—	31
11	8	-3	Ty Dillon		82	—	Running	5	31
12	13	+1	Erik Jones		82	—	Running	—	29
13	22	+9	Brandon Jones		82	—	Running	—	28
14	18	+4	Ross Chastain		82	—	Running	2	28
15	20	+5	J.J. Yeley		82	—	Running	—	26
16	17	+1	Scott Heckert		82	—	Running	—	25
17	23	+6	Kenny Habul		82	—	Running	—	24
18	28	+10	Dakoda Armstrong		81	—	Running	—	23
19	31	+12	Stanton Barrett	Dodge	81	—	Running	—	22
20	33	+13	Ray Black, Jr.		81	—	Running	—	21
21	35	+14	Cody Ware		81	—	Running	—	20
22	24	+2	Spencer Gallagher		81	—	Running	—	0
23	25	+2	Ryan Sieg		80	—	Running	—	18
24	2	-22	Brad Keselowski		79	—	Running	—	0
25	15	-10	Jeremy Clements		74	—	Running	—	16
26	39	+13	B.J. McLeod		73	—	Running	—	15
27	21	-6	Ryan Preece		67	—	DNF	—	14
28	36	+8	Nicolas Hammann	Dodge	67	—	DNF	—	13
29	11	-18	Bubba Wallace		63	—	DNF	—	12
30	38	+8	Ryan Ellis		62	—	DNF	—	11
31	40	+9	Derrike Cope		53	—	DNF	—	10
32	37	+5	Joey Gase		32	—	DNF	—	9
33	30	-3	Jeff Green		18	—	DNF	—	8
34	26	-8	Todd Bodine		17	—	DNF	—	7
35	14	-21	Blake Koch		17	—	DNF	—	6
36	29	-7	Tomy Drissi		17	—	DNF	—	5
37	5	-32	Kyle Busch		17	—	DNF	—	0
38	32	-6	T.J. Bell		13	—	DNF	—	3
39	27	-12	Garrett Smithley		13	—	DNF	—	2
40	34	-6	Chris Cook		8	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Joey Logano	12.7	1	+11.7	Moderate
3	Kyle Larson	12.9	3	+9.9	Moderate
4	Daniel Suarez	16.8	4	+12.8	Moderate
7	Justin Allgaier	16.8	7	+9.8	Moderate
10	Brennan Poole	21.4	10	+11.4	Moderate
11	Ty Dillon	21.4	11	+10.4	High Confidence
12	Erik Jones	21.4	12	+9.4	High Confidence
14	Ross Chastain	16.2	14	+2.2	Coinflip
15	J.J. Yeley	21.9	15	+6.9	High Confidence
21	Cody Ware	28.5	21	+7.5	High Confidence
24	Brad Keselowski	16.7	24	-7.3	High Confidence
26	B.J. McLeod	20.8	26	-5.2	Coinflip
27	Ryan Preece	16.5	27	-10.5	Coinflip
29	Bubba Wallace	16.7	29	-12.3	Moderate
32	Joey Gase	20.8	32	-11.2	Coinflip
37	Kyle Busch	13.0	37	-24.0	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Joey Logano: has 23 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
Daniel Suarez: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P17. Track history: 9 starts, 9.0 avg finish.

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Track

Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN?

Joey Logano won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN at Watkins Glen International.

Where was the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN held?

The 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN was held at Watkins Glen International on August 6, 2016.