Food City 500

Bristol Motor Speedway — January 1, 2017

Jimmie Johnson
Winner
500
Laps
21
Entries
7
Leaders

Jimmie Johnson won the 2017 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2017, leading 81 of 500 laps. Clint Bowyer finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, January 1, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 24 +23 Jimmie Johnson
2 13 +11 Clint Bowyer
3 12 +9 Kevin Harvick
4 38 +34 Matt Kenseth
5 18 +13 Joey Logano
6 1 -5 Kyle Larson
7 8 +1 Chase Elliott
8 3 -5 Martin Truex, Jr.
9 22 +13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
10 14 +4 Denny Hamlin
11 25 +14 Trevor Bayne
12 2 -10 Jamie McMurray
13 19 +6 Austin Dillon
14 20 +6 Ryan Newman
15 35 +20 Ty Dillon
16 15 -1 Paul Menard
17 30 +13 Erik Jones
18 11 -7 Daniel Suarez
19 27 +8 Matt DiBenedetto
20 21 +1 Kasey Kahne
32 31 -1 Landon Cassill
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Denny Hamlin 5 4 13
Joey Logano 6 5 11
Jimmie Johnson 26 1 10
Martin Truex, Jr. 1 32 10
Matt Kenseth 27 3 8
Kyle Larson 3 11 8
Austin Dillon 8 8 6
Trevor Bayne 7 35 4
Chase Elliott 11 9 2
Kasey Kahne 9 12 2
Clint Bowyer 10 33 1
Ryan Newman 35 10 1
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Jimmie Johnson 17.7 1 +16.7
5 Joey Logano 12.1 5 +7.1
6 Kyle Larson 8.6 6 +2.6
7 Chase Elliott 8.3 7 +1.3
8 Martin Truex, Jr. 13.8 8 +5.8
9 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.1 9 +11.1
10 Denny Hamlin 6.8 10 -3.2
13 Austin Dillon 17.0 13 +4.0
15 Ty Dillon 24.3 15 +9.3
17 Erik Jones 17.7 17 +0.7
18 Daniel Suarez 15.6 18 -2.4

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Jimmie Johnson: has 45 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 48 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.3 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P10 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Food City 500?
Jimmie Johnson won the 2017 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2017 Food City 500 held?
The 2017 Food City 500 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2017.