NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 11, 2017
Joey Logano
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 11, 2017, leading 106 of 200 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Daniel Suarez rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 11, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 3 | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Justin Allgaier |
| 5 | 5 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Bubba Wallace |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Elliott Sadler |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Ryan Reed |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Cole Custer |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Blake Koch |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Daniel Hemric |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | William Byron |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Brandon Jones |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Brennan Poole |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Aric Almirola |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Drew Herring |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Michael Annett |
| 22 | 23 | +1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 23 | 24 | +1 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 24 | 9 | -15 | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Ross Chastain |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | David Starr |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Garrett Smithley |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 32 | 35 | +3 | Martin Roy |
| 33 | 32 | -1 | Timmy Hill |
| 34 | 6 | -28 | Matt Tifft |
| 35 | 17 | -18 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Jeff Green |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 38 | 38 | — | Brandon Hightower |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Stephen Leicht |
| 40 | 30 | -10 | Jordan Anderson |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 3 | +11.0 |
| 4 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 4 | +14.3 |
| 5 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 5 | +12.1 |
| 6 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 7 | +10.0 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 10 | +1.2 |
| 11 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 11 | +11.9 |
| 14 | William Byron | 10.7 | 14 | -3.3 |
| 16 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 16 | +8.7 |
| 22 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 22 | +6.8 |
| 24 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 24 | -0.6 |
| 25 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 25 | -11.7 |
| 28 | David Starr | 20.9 | 28 | -7.1 |
| 30 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 30 | -6.6 |
| 33 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 33 | -9.1 |
| 37 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 37 | -12.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 28 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.3 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P14 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P18. Track history: 26 starts, 10.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS?
Joey Logano won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 11, 2017.