NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE
Charlotte Motor Speedway — October 7, 2017
Alex Bowman
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders
Alex Bowman won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 7, 2017, leading 32 of 200 laps. Sam Hornish Jr. finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 7, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 2 | 31 | +29 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Austin Dillon |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Brennan Poole |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Cole Custer |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Daniel Hemric |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Matt Tifft |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Ryan Reed |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Brandon Jones |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Ty Dillon |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | William Byron |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Corey LaJoie |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 19 | 19 | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Jeremy Clements |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Garrett Smithley |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Mario Gosselin |
| 25 | 15 | -10 | Blake Koch |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | David Starr |
| 27 | 17 | -10 | Michael Annett |
| 28 | 28 | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Chad Finchum |
| 30 | 3 | -27 | Erik Jones |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | Joey Gase |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Mike Harmon |
| 33 | 5 | -28 | Justin Allgaier |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Timmy Hill |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Angela Ruch |
| 37 | 40 | +3 | Reed Sorenson |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 39 | 38 | -1 | Gray Gaulding |
| 40 | 32 | -8 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 1 | +12.5 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 5 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 5 | +19.7 |
| 6 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 6 | +16.9 |
| 8 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 8 | +6.0 |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 14 | -0.7 |
| 15 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 16 | William Byron | 10.7 | 16 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 17 | +5.2 |
| 19 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 19 | +9.8 |
| 26 | David Starr | 20.9 | 26 | -5.1 |
| 28 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 28 | -3.2 |
| 29 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 29 | -2.6 |
| 30 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 30 | -13.3 |
| 31 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 31 | -7.6 |
| 33 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 33 | -14.7 |
| 35 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 35 | -11.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Alex Bowman: has 19 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 19.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
- Brennan Poole: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P25. Track history: 11 starts, 22.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Alex Bowman won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 7, 2017.